Football · Japan J-League · 07/11, 06:00

Prediction: Yokohama F-Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama

Team pages: Yokohama F-Marinos · Fagiano Okayama

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

Yokohama F-Marinos1.97

Fagiano Okayama1.05

1X2

58% 24% 19%

Yokohama F-Marinos Draw Fagiano Okayama

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Yokohama F-Marinos 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

LDWDWDDDDW

Fagiano Okayama 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLLWLL

Head-to-head

Yokohama F-Marinos 0–2 Fagiano Okayama (2 last)

Yokohama F-Marinos0-1Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama1-0Yokohama F-Marinos

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yokohama F-Marinos (rating 1577 vs 1494).
H2H favours Fagiano Okayama: 2-0-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yokohama F-Marinos	Fagiano Okayama
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1	1.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.2	3.2 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.89

Under 2.51.94

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 13:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.71 → 2.68▼	Pinn 2.68
X	3.28 → 3.35▲	Pinn 3.35
2	2.61 → 2.67▲	Pinn 2.67

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 4.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:12 +8’	2.71	3.28	2.61
06:12 +10’	2.73▲	3.31▲	2.64▲
11:52 +75’	2.68▼	3.35▲	2.67▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Yokohama F-Marinos 0–0–2 Fagiano Okayama

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/25 Japan J-League	Yokohama F-Marinos	0-1 HT 0-1	Fagiano Okayama
29/03/25 Japan J-League	Fagiano Okayama	1-0 HT 0-0	Yokohama F-Marinos

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tokyo	13	9	3	1	31	8	30
2	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	13	9	2	2	32	10	29
3	Kashiwa Reysol	13	9	1	3	29	19	28
4	Machida Zelvia	12	8	3	1	30	10	27
5	Vissel Kobe	13	8	2	3	21	12	26
6	Kashima Antlers	13	7	2	4	29	22	23
7	Kawasaki Frontale	13	6	4	3	27	22	22
8	Yokohama F-Marinos	13	5	6	2	20	14	21
9	Urawa Red Diamonds	13	7	0	6	21	27	21
10	Fagiano Okayama	13	5	1	7	15	21	16
11	Nagoya Grampus	13	4	2	7	15	21	14
12	Cerezo Osaka	13	3	5	5	13	23	14
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	13	4	2	7	10	22	14
14	Kyoto Sanga FC	13	3	4	6	17	23	13
15	V-Varen Nagasaki	13	3	3	7	16	21	12
16	Gamba Osaka	12	2	5	5	14	21	11
17	Tokyo Verdy	13	2	5	6	11	22	11
18	JEF Utd Chiba	13	2	4	7	15	24	10
19	Mito Hollyhock	13	2	3	8	12	25	9
20	Avispa Fukuoka	13	2	1	10	13	24	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yokohama F-Marinos	Fagiano Okayama
Kawasaki Frontale	4-2 W	1-2 L
Nagoya Grampus	1-1 D	1-2 L
JEF Utd Chiba	0-0 D	2-1 W
Mito Hollyhock	2-0 W	2-0 W
Kyoto Sanga FC	1-1 D	1-2 L
Urawa Red Diamonds	2-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Yokohama F-Marinos (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yokohama F-Marinos

LDWDWDDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	3-1	4-2	7	4	W
25/10	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
21/10	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	1-0	2-2	6	2	D
17/10	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
10/10	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
19/09	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
12/09	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
06/09	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
02/09	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
29/08	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	1-1	2-3	3	4	L

Fagiano Okayama

LWWWLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	0-1	0-4	8	1	L
25/10	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	0-1	1-2	8	3	L
21/10	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	0-0	2-0	4	1	W
18/10	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	0-0	0-3	10	4	L
10/10	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
19/09	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	1-1	1-2	7	5	L
13/09	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	1-1	2-1	8	4	W
06/09	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	2-1	3-2	2	3	W
02/09	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
29/08	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	1-1	1-2	9	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yokohama F-Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Yokohama F-Marinos win (58%). Probabilities: Yokohama F-Marinos 58%, draw 24%, Fagiano Okayama 19%.

How many goals are expected in Yokohama F-Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Yokohama F-Marinos 1.97 · Fagiano Okayama 1.05), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Yokohama F-Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.