Football · Japan J-League · 07/11, 06:00

Prediction: Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga FC

Team pages: Nagoya Grampus · Kyoto Sanga FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Nagoya Grampus1.6

Kyoto Sanga FC1.25

1X2

44% 27% 29%

Nagoya Grampus Draw Kyoto Sanga FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Nagoya Grampus 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWWDDL

Kyoto Sanga FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLWLLDDW

Head-to-head

Nagoya Grampus 1–3–2 Kyoto Sanga FC (6 last)

Nagoya Grampus3-0Kyoto Sanga FC
Kyoto Sanga FC1-1Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus1-2Kyoto Sanga FC
Kyoto Sanga FC1-1Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga FC3-2Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus1-1Kyoto Sanga FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kyoto Sanga FC: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nagoya Grampus	Kyoto Sanga FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.4	1.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.99

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.84 → 1.84	Pinn 1.84
X	3.91 → 3.91	Pinn 3.91
2	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
23:19 +63’	1.84	3.91	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nagoya Grampus 1–3–2 Kyoto Sanga FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Japan J-League	Nagoya Grampus	3-0 HT 2-0	Kyoto Sanga FC
22/03/26 Japan J-League	Kyoto Sanga FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Nagoya Grampus
10/08/25 Japan J-League	Nagoya Grampus	1-2 HT 0-0	Kyoto Sanga FC
11/05/25 Japan J-League	Kyoto Sanga FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Nagoya Grampus
07/08/24 Japan J-League	Kyoto Sanga FC	3-2 HT 0-2	Nagoya Grampus
26/05/24 Japan J-League	Nagoya Grampus	1-1 HT 0-1	Kyoto Sanga FC

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tokyo	13	9	3	1	31	8	30
2	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	13	9	2	2	32	10	29
3	Kashiwa Reysol	13	9	1	3	29	19	28
4	Machida Zelvia	12	8	3	1	30	10	27
5	Vissel Kobe	13	8	2	3	21	12	26
6	Kashima Antlers	13	7	2	4	29	22	23
7	Kawasaki Frontale	13	6	4	3	27	22	22
8	Yokohama F-Marinos	13	5	6	2	20	14	21
9	Urawa Red Diamonds	13	7	0	6	21	27	21
10	Fagiano Okayama	13	5	1	7	15	21	16
11	Nagoya Grampus	13	4	2	7	15	21	14
12	Cerezo Osaka	13	3	5	5	13	23	14
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	13	4	2	7	10	22	14
14	Kyoto Sanga FC	13	3	4	6	17	23	13
15	V-Varen Nagasaki	13	3	3	7	16	21	12
16	Gamba Osaka	12	2	5	5	14	21	11
17	Tokyo Verdy	13	2	5	6	11	22	11
18	JEF Utd Chiba	13	2	4	7	15	24	10
19	Mito Hollyhock	13	2	3	8	12	25	9
20	Avispa Fukuoka	13	2	1	10	13	24	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nagoya Grampus	Kyoto Sanga FC
Yokohama F-Marinos	1-1 D	1-1 D
Kashiwa Reysol	3-1 W	2-3 L
FC Tokyo	0-1 L	0-2 L
Machida Zelvia	1-3 L	0-1 L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0-3 L	0-3 L
Fagiano Okayama	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Nagoya Grampus (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nagoya Grampus

WLLLLWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	1-1	1-3	6	2	L
25/10	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
21/10	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
17/10	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	2-1	3-1	2	2	W
11/10	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
19/09	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
12/09	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
06/09	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
02/09	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	0-0	0-3	1	3	L
29/08	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	1-1	2-1	6	5	W

Kyoto Sanga FC

WDLLWLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	2-0	2-0	6	6	W
24/10	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	1-1	2-2	2	3	D
21/10	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	1-0	2-2	2	2	D
17/10	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	0-0	0-3	4	2	L
10/10	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
19/09	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
11/09	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	2-0	2-3	7	5	L
06/09	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
02/09	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
29/08	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	1-0	2-1	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nagoya Grampus win (44%). Probabilities: Nagoya Grampus 44%, draw 27%, Kyoto Sanga FC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga FC?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Nagoya Grampus 1.6 · Kyoto Sanga FC 1.25), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.