Football · Japan J-League · 08/08, 12:00
Prediction: Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Nagoya Grampus1.79
Shimizu S-Pulse0.96
1X2
Nagoya Grampus
Draw
Shimizu S-Pulse
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Nagoya Grampus
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Shimizu S-Pulse
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nagoya Grampus
4–1–1
Shimizu S-Pulse
(6 last)
- Shimizu S-Pulse0-2Nagoya Grampus
- Nagoya Grampus1-0Shimizu S-Pulse
- Nagoya Grampus1-1Shimizu S-Pulse
- Shimizu S-Pulse0-3Nagoya Grampus
- Nagoya Grampus0-2Shimizu S-Pulse
- Shimizu S-Pulse1-2Nagoya Grampus
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nagoya Grampus (rating 1528 vs 1459).
- H2H favours Nagoya Grampus: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nagoya Grampus | Shimizu S-Pulse | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.7 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.6 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nagoya Grampus 4–1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Japan J-League | Shimizu S-Pulse | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 08/02/26 Japan J-League | Nagoya Grampus | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 21/06/25 Japan J-League | Nagoya Grampus | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 03/05/25 Japan J-League | Shimizu S-Pulse | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 10/07/22 Japan J-League | Nagoya Grampus | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 21/05/22 Japan J-League | Shimizu S-Pulse | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Nagoya Grampus |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avispa Fukuoka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerezo Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fagiano Okayama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | JEF Utd Chiba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kawasaki Frontale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mito Hollyhock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nagoya Grampus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tokyo Verdy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nagoya Grampus | Shimizu S-Pulse |
|---|---|---|
| Cerezo Osaka | 1-6 L | 1-1 D |
| Kyoto Sanga FC | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Gamba Osaka | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| V-Varen Nagasaki | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Fagiano Okayama | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Avispa Fukuoka | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Nagoya Grampus (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nagoya Grampus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 19/04 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
Shimizu S-Pulse
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Polissya Zhytomyr World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 29/04 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nagoya Grampus win (56%). Probabilities: Nagoya Grampus 56%, draw 25%, Shimizu S-Pulse 19%.
How many goals are expected in Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Nagoya Grampus 1.79 · Shimizu S-Pulse 0.96), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.