Football · Japan J3-League · 15/08, 11:00
Prediction: Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kamatamare Sanuki
Team pages: Kamatamare Sanuki
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Giravanz Kitakyushu1.59
Kamatamare Sanuki1.32
1X2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Draw
Kamatamare Sanuki
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Kamatamare Sanuki
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Giravanz Kitakyushu
3–1–2
Kamatamare Sanuki
(6 last)
- Kamatamare Sanuki3-1Giravanz Kitakyushu
- Kamatamare Sanuki1-4Giravanz Kitakyushu
- Giravanz Kitakyushu2-0Kamatamare Sanuki
- Kamatamare Sanuki1-2Giravanz Kitakyushu
- Giravanz Kitakyushu1-1Kamatamare Sanuki
- Kamatamare Sanuki1-0Giravanz Kitakyushu
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giravanz Kitakyushu 1466 · Kamatamare Sanuki 1480
| Giravanz Kitakyushu | Draw | Kamatamare Sanuki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Giravanz Kitakyushu: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Giravanz Kitakyushu | Kamatamare Sanuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.3 | 1.5 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Giravanz Kitakyushu 3–1–2 Kamatamare Sanuki
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
| 19/10/25 Japan J3-League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
| 08/03/25 Japan J3-League | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Kamatamare Sanuki |
| 10/11/24 Japan J3-League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
| 14/04/24 Japan J3-League | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Kamatamare Sanuki |
| 22/10/23 Japan J3-League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Gifu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Tochigi SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Parceiro Nagano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Kagoshima United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Osaka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Gainare Tottori | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Kochi United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Matsumoto Y FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Roasso Kumamoto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Sagamihara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | FC Ryukyu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Fukushima Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Thespa Gunma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Nara Club | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | Reilac Shiga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giravanz Kitakyushu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Tochigi SC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Kagoshima United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Reilac Shiga Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Gainare Tottori Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 06/05 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Oita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | FC Ryukyu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Kamatamare Sanuki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 05/06 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | FC Osaka Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Imabari Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Kochi United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Ehime FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Giravanz Kitakyushu win (42%). Probabilities: Giravanz Kitakyushu 42%, draw 28%, Kamatamare Sanuki 30%.
How many goals are expected in Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Giravanz Kitakyushu 1.59 · Kamatamare Sanuki 1.32), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.