Football · Japan J3-League · 13/09, 11:00

Prediction: FC Ryukyu vs Kamatamare Sanuki

Team pages: FC Ryukyu · Kamatamare Sanuki

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

FC Ryukyu1.66

Kamatamare Sanuki1.24

1X2

46% 26% 28%

FC Ryukyu Draw Kamatamare Sanuki

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Ryukyu 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDDLDWLW

Kamatamare Sanuki 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDWWWLLL

Head-to-head

FC Ryukyu 3–2–1 Kamatamare Sanuki (6 last)

FC Ryukyu1-1Kamatamare Sanuki
Kamatamare Sanuki1-0FC Ryukyu
Kamatamare Sanuki0-1FC Ryukyu
FC Ryukyu0-0Kamatamare Sanuki
FC Ryukyu1-0Kamatamare Sanuki
Kamatamare Sanuki1-2FC Ryukyu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Ryukyu 1477 · Kamatamare Sanuki 1475

	FC Ryukyu	Draw	Kamatamare Sanuki
Our model	46%	26%	27%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Ryukyu: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Ryukyu	Kamatamare Sanuki
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.7	1.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.3	1.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.1	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.50

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 1.91▼	Pinn 1.94
X	3.20 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50
2	3.00 → 3.20▲	Pinn 3.56 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:28 +10’	2.15	3.20	3.00
17:51 +5’	1.91▼	3.50▲	3.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:24 +152’	1.94	3.37	3.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ryukyu 3–2–1 Kamatamare Sanuki

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/25 Japan J3-League	FC Ryukyu	1-1 HT 0-0	Kamatamare Sanuki
15/03/25 Japan J3-League	Kamatamare Sanuki	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Ryukyu
07/07/24 Japan J3-League	Kamatamare Sanuki	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Ryukyu
03/05/24 Japan J3-League	FC Ryukyu	0-0 HT 0-0	Kamatamare Sanuki
07/10/23 Japan J3-League	FC Ryukyu	1-0 HT 1-0	Kamatamare Sanuki
02/07/23 Japan J3-League	Kamatamare Sanuki	1-2 HT 1-2	FC Ryukyu

Standings · Japan J3-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ehime FC	5	4	1	0	15	5	13
2	Kagoshima United	5	4	1	0	10	5	13
3	FC Gifu	5	3	1	1	14	2	10
4	Reilac Shiga	5	3	0	2	9	8	9
5	Sagamihara	5	2	2	1	8	5	8
6	Tochigi SC	5	2	2	1	8	8	8
7	FC Ryukyu	5	2	1	2	8	6	7
8	FC Osaka	5	1	4	0	7	5	7
9	Renofa Yamaguchi	5	2	1	2	5	4	7
10	Parceiro Nagano	5	2	1	2	6	7	7
11	Gainare Tottori	5	2	1	2	4	9	7
12	Roasso Kumamoto	5	1	3	1	4	3	6
13	Zweigen Kanazawa	5	2	0	3	8	9	6
14	Nara Club	5	1	2	2	9	12	5
15	Fukushima Utd	5	1	1	3	10	11	4
16	Matsumoto Y FC	5	0	4	1	5	6	4
17	Kamatamare Sanuki	5	1	1	3	6	10	4
18	Kochi United	5	1	1	3	2	12	4
19	Giravanz Kitakyushu	5	0	3	2	5	10	3
20	Thespa Gunma	5	1	0	4	6	12	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Ryukyu	Kamatamare Sanuki
Kagoshima United	1-2 L	3-4 L
Vanraure Hachinohe	1-1 D	1-0 W
Azul Claro Numazu	2-3 L	1-0 W
Tochigi City	2-2 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kamatamare Sanuki (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Ryukyu

DLLDDLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J3-League	0-0	3-0	4	1	W
05/09	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-0	1-2	7	2	L
29/08	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	2-0	2-1	8	2	W
22/08	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	1-0	2-2	8	1	D
15/08	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J3-League	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
29/11	Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J3-League	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
23/11	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
16/11	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	0-2	1-4	1	1	L
09/11	Azul Claro Numazu Japan J3-League	1-1	2-3	0	3	L
03/11	Tochigi City Japan J3-League	1-1	2-2	6	2	D

Kamatamare Sanuki

WLLDWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Reilac Shiga Japan J3-League	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
29/08	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	1-0	3-4	6	1	L
23/08	Kochi United Japan J3-League	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
09/08	Fukushima Utd Japan J3-League	0-1	2-1	7	1	W
29/11	Azul Claro Numazu Japan J3-League	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
23/11	Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J3-League	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
16/11	Kagoshima United Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
08/11	Tochigi City Japan J3-League	1-0	1-3	2	5	L
02/11	Gainare Tottori Japan J3-League	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
26/10	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J3-League	0-0	2-1	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Ryukyu vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Ryukyu win (46%). Probabilities: FC Ryukyu 46%, draw 26%, Kamatamare Sanuki 28%.

How many goals are expected in FC Ryukyu vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

The model expects 2.9 goals (FC Ryukyu 1.66 · Kamatamare Sanuki 1.24), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Ryukyu vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.