Football · Japan J2-League · 08/08, 11:30

Prediction: Vanraure Hachinohe vs Kataller Toyama

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Vanraure Hachinohe1.25

Kataller Toyama1.29

1X2

35% 29% 36%

Vanraure Hachinohe Draw Kataller Toyama

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Vanraure Hachinohe 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLDDDLD

Kataller Toyama 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWDLWD

Head-to-head

Vanraure Hachinohe 3–3 Kataller Toyama (6 last)

Kataller Toyama3-1Vanraure Hachinohe
Vanraure Hachinohe2-0Kataller Toyama
Vanraure Hachinohe1-0Kataller Toyama
Kataller Toyama2-1Vanraure Hachinohe
Vanraure Hachinohe2-1Kataller Toyama
Kataller Toyama2-1Vanraure Hachinohe

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vanraure Hachinohe 1441 · Kataller Toyama 1558

	Vanraure Hachinohe	Draw	Kataller Toyama
Our model	34%	29%	36%
Market	35%	29%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kataller Toyama (rating 1441 vs 1558).
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vanraure Hachinohe	Kataller Toyama
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.1	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.7	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.6	1.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.20

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:29	2.63	3.20	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vanraure Hachinohe 3–0–3 Kataller Toyama

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/11/24 Japan J3-League	Kataller Toyama	3-1 HT 1-0	Vanraure Hachinohe
17/03/24 Japan J3-League	Vanraure Hachinohe	2-0 HT 2-0	Kataller Toyama
19/11/23 Japan J3-League	Vanraure Hachinohe	1-0 HT 1-0	Kataller Toyama
24/06/23 Japan J3-League	Kataller Toyama	2-1 HT 1-0	Vanraure Hachinohe
23/10/22 Japan J3-League	Vanraure Hachinohe	2-1 HT 0-1	Kataller Toyama
15/07/22 Japan J3-League	Kataller Toyama	2-1 HT 0-1	Vanraure Hachinohe

Standings · Japan J2-League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Blaublitz Akita	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Imabari	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fujieda MYFC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Iwaki FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jubilo Iwata	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kataller Toyama	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Montedio Yamagata	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Oita	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Omiya Ardija	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sagan Tosu	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Shonan Bellmare	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tochigi City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tokushima Vortis	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vanraure Hachinohe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vegalta Sendai	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ventforet Kofu	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Yokohama FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vanraure Hachinohe	Kataller Toyama
FC Imabari	1-1 D	2-1 W
Vegalta Sendai	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Kataller Toyama (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vanraure Hachinohe

LWLLLDDDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/06	FC Imabari Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-1	1-1	12	6	D
01/06	Fukushima Utd Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
24/05	Tochigi SC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
16/05	Sagamihara Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
10/05	Vegalta Sendai Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
06/05	Shonan Bellmare Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
03/05	Thespa Gunma Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
29/04	Yokohama FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-2	1-4	2	1	L
26/04	Blaublitz Akita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
19/04	Montedio Yamagata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-1	0-1	1	3	L

Kataller Toyama

WWWWDWDLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/06	Vegalta Sendai Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
30/05	Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
23/05	Nara Club Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-3	1-5	4	2	L
17/05	Tokushima Vortis Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	2-1	2-2	5	3	D
10/05	Ehime FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
06/05	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
03/05	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	1-0	8	6	W
29/04	Albirex Niigata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
25/04	FC Imabari Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
19/04	Kochi United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	2-0	4-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vanraure Hachinohe vs Kataller Toyama?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kataller Toyama win (36%). Probabilities: Vanraure Hachinohe 35%, draw 29%, Kataller Toyama 36%.

How many goals are expected in Vanraure Hachinohe vs Kataller Toyama?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Vanraure Hachinohe 1.25 · Kataller Toyama 1.29), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vanraure Hachinohe vs Kataller Toyama?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.