Football · Japan J2-League · 08/08, 12:00
Prediction: Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Sagan Tosu1.77
Ventforet Kofu0.92
1X2
Sagan Tosu
Draw
Ventforet Kofu
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sagan Tosu
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Ventforet Kofu
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sagan Tosu
3–2–1
Ventforet Kofu
(6 last)
- Ventforet Kofu2-3Sagan Tosu
- Sagan Tosu0-0Ventforet Kofu
- Ventforet Kofu3-1Sagan Tosu
- Sagan Tosu2-1Ventforet Kofu
- Ventforet Kofu0-0Sagan Tosu
- Ventforet Kofu2-3Sagan Tosu
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sagan Tosu (rating 1551 vs 1479).
- H2H favours Sagan Tosu: 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sagan Tosu | Ventforet Kofu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.6 | 2.4 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sagan Tosu 3–2–1 Ventforet Kofu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 Japan J2-League | Ventforet Kofu | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Sagan Tosu |
| 11/05/25 Japan J2-League | Sagan Tosu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ventforet Kofu |
| 13/07/22 Japan Cup | Ventforet Kofu | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Sagan Tosu |
| 16/09/17 Japan J-League | Sagan Tosu | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Ventforet Kofu |
| 02/07/17 Japan J-League | Ventforet Kofu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sagan Tosu |
| 31/05/17 Japan J-League Cup | Ventforet Kofu | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Sagan Tosu |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albirex Niigata | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Blaublitz Akita | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Imabari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fujieda MYFC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Iwaki FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Jubilo Iwata | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kataller Toyama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montedio Yamagata | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Oita | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Omiya Ardija | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sagan Tosu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shonan Bellmare | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tochigi City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tokushima Vortis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ventforet Kofu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Yokohama FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sagan Tosu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | FC Ryukyu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Oita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Gainare Tottori Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 29/04 | Kagoshima United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Reilac Shiga Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Ventforet Kofu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Matsumoto Y FC World Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 06/06 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | FC Gifu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Iwaki FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 29/04 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Fukushima Utd Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sagan Tosu win (56%). Probabilities: Sagan Tosu 56%, draw 25%, Ventforet Kofu 18%.
How many goals are expected in Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Sagan Tosu 1.77 · Ventforet Kofu 0.92), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.