Football · Japan J2-League · 08/08, 12:00

Prediction: Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Yokohama FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Tegevajaro Miyazaki1.5

Yokohama FC1.42

1X2

38% 28% 34%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Draw Yokohama FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Yokohama FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1569 · Yokohama FC 1579

	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	Draw	Yokohama FC
Our model	38%	27%	35%
Market	37%	29%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	Yokohama FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.6	2.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5.5	2.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.20

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:30	2.45	3.20	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Japan J2-League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Blaublitz Akita	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Imabari	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fujieda MYFC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Iwaki FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jubilo Iwata	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kataller Toyama	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Montedio Yamagata	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Oita	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Omiya Ardija	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sagan Tosu	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Shonan Bellmare	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tochigi City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tokushima Vortis	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vanraure Hachinohe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vegalta Sendai	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ventforet Kofu	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Yokohama FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/06	Ventforet Kofu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
30/05	Kataller Toyama Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
24/05	Reilac Shiga Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-1	2-2	8	6	D
17/05	Oita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	2-1	8	1	W
09/05	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
06/05	FC Ryukyu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
02/05	Sagan Tosu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
29/04	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	2-0	3-0	5	3	W
25/04	Kagoshima United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
19/04	Gainare Tottori Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	1-0	5	1	W

Yokohama FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/06	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
30/05	Omiya Ardija Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
23/05	Vegalta Sendai Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	2-0	3-0	1	3	W
17/05	Tochigi SC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
10/05	Shonan Bellmare Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
06/05	Tochigi City Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	2-1	2-2	2	3	D
02/05	Sagamihara Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-3	3-3	10	5	D
29/04	Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	2-0	4-1	5	1	W
25/04	Thespa Gunma Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-2	1-3	9	1	L
19/04	Blaublitz Akita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	2-0	3-1	8	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Yokohama FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tegevajaro Miyazaki win (38%). Probabilities: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 38%, draw 28%, Yokohama FC 34%.

How many goals are expected in Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Yokohama FC?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1.5 · Yokohama FC 1.42), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Yokohama FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.