Prediction: Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Team pages: Montedio Yamagata · Tegevajaro Miyazaki
| Montedio Yamagata | Draw | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 30% | 41% |
| Market | 29% | 29% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tegevajaro Miyazaki (rating 1456 vs 1501).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montedio Yamagata | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0 |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 20 | 23 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 22 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 21 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 20 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 19 |
| 7 | Oita | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 18 |
| 8 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
| 9 | Iwaki FC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 16 |
| 10 | Fujieda MYFC | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 15 |
| 11 | Jubilo Iwata | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 12 | Sagan Tosu | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Tokushima Vortis | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 14 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 14 |
| 15 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 14 |
| 16 | Montedio Yamagata | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 17 | Blaublitz Akita | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| 18 | Tochigi City | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 12 |
| 19 | FC Imabari | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 11 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Montedio Yamagata | Tegevajaro Miyazaki |
|---|---|---|
| Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Fujieda MYFC | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Vegalta Sendai | 0-1 L | 2-4 L |
| Sagan Tosu | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Kataller Toyama | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tegevajaro Miyazaki (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montedio Yamagata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/10 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Oita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 17/10 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/10 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 18/09 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tegevajaro Miyazaki win (41%). Probabilities: Montedio Yamagata 29%, draw 29%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 41%.
How many goals are expected in Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Montedio Yamagata 1.06 · Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1.31), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.