Football · Japan J2-League · 03/11, 06:50

Prediction: FC Imabari vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Team pages: FC Imabari · Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

FC Imabari1.24

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo1.36

1X2

33% 28% 39%

FC Imabari Draw Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Imabari 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLWWDLLD

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDDLWLWWWW

Head-to-head

FC Imabari 0–2–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (2 last)

FC Imabari1-1Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo2-2FC Imabari

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Imabari 1476 · Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1519

	FC Imabari	Draw	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Our model	33%	29%	39%
Market	34%	27%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (rating 1476 vs 1519).
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Imabari	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	1.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.40

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 2.94 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.37

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.9% Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:08 +5’	2.70	3.40	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:15 +19’	2.94	3.36	2.37

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Imabari 0–2–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/11/25 Japan J2-League	FC Imabari	1-1 HT 0-0	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
15/06/25 Japan J2-League	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	2-2 HT 0-1	FC Imabari

Standings · Japan J2-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	14	8	3	3	23	13	27
2	Albirex Niigata	14	8	2	4	21	24	26
3	Kataller Toyama	14	7	4	3	26	14	25
4	Yokohama FC	14	7	4	3	26	16	25
5	Omiya Ardija	14	6	6	2	25	17	24
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	14	6	5	3	21	16	23
7	Shonan Bellmare	14	5	7	2	15	13	22
8	Iwaki FC	14	6	2	6	23	20	20
9	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	14	6	2	6	17	19	20
10	Oita	14	4	7	3	17	12	19
11	Jubilo Iwata	14	5	4	5	16	15	19
12	Blaublitz Akita	14	4	5	5	15	15	17
13	Sagan Tosu	14	5	2	7	14	17	17
14	Tokushima Vortis	14	5	2	7	11	14	17
15	Fujieda MYFC	14	3	7	4	16	15	16
16	Montedio Yamagata	14	5	1	8	13	14	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	14	4	2	8	11	24	14
18	Tochigi City	14	3	3	8	21	25	12
19	FC Imabari	14	3	3	8	16	27	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	14	3	3	8	11	28	12

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Imabari	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Blaublitz Akita	0-1 L	1-0 W
Vegalta Sendai	1-3 L	1-1 D
Tochigi City	2-1 W	1-4 L
Shonan Bellmare	1-2 L	1-0 W
Oita	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Imabari

DWLLWWDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
25/10	Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
21/10	Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League	1-0	1-3	4	3	L
17/10	Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League	1-1	3-3	8	4	D
10/10	Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
03/10	Tochigi City Japan J2-League	2-1	2-1	2	3	W
26/09	Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League	1-1	1-2	7	3	L
19/09	Yokohama FC Japan J2-League	0-1	1-2	2	6	L
12/09	Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
06/09	Oita Japan J2-League	1-0	1-1	3	1	D

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

LDDLWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
25/10	Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
21/10	Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League	0-0	2-0	5	1	W
17/10	Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
10/10	Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
04/10	Iwaki FC Japan J2-League	1-0	2-1	12	0	W
26/09	Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League	0-2	2-3	4	0	L
19/09	Oita Japan J2-League	0-0	1-1	6	2	D
13/09	Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
06/09	Tochigi City Japan J2-League	0-2	1-4	10	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Imabari vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo win (39%). Probabilities: FC Imabari 33%, draw 28%, Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 39%.

How many goals are expected in FC Imabari vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo?

The model expects 2.6 goals (FC Imabari 1.24 · Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1.36), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Imabari vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.