Football · Japan J2-League · 03/11, 06:00
Prediction: Ventforet Kofu vs Albirex Niigata
Team pages: Ventforet Kofu · Albirex Niigata
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Ventforet Kofu1.38
Albirex Niigata1.6
1X2
Ventforet Kofu
Draw
Albirex Niigata
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Ventforet Kofu
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Albirex Niigata
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ventforet Kofu
0–3–3
Albirex Niigata
(6 last)
- Ventforet Kofu1-2Albirex Niigata
- Albirex Niigata2-0Ventforet Kofu
- Albirex Niigata1-0Ventforet Kofu
- Ventforet Kofu2-2Albirex Niigata
- Albirex Niigata1-1Ventforet Kofu
- Ventforet Kofu3-3Albirex Niigata
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Albirex Niigata (rating 1439 vs 1527).
- H2H favours Albirex Niigata: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ventforet Kofu | Albirex Niigata | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.1 | 1.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.3 | 1.4 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ventforet Kofu 0–3–3 Albirex Niigata
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/22 Japan J2-League | Ventforet Kofu | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Albirex Niigata |
| 19/03/22 Japan J2-League | Albirex Niigata | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Ventforet Kofu |
| 25/09/21 Japan J2-League | Albirex Niigata | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ventforet Kofu |
| 05/06/21 Japan J2-League | Ventforet Kofu | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Albirex Niigata |
| 26/09/20 Japan J2-League | Albirex Niigata | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Ventforet Kofu |
| 27/06/20 Japan J2-League | Ventforet Kofu | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Albirex Niigata |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 24 | 26 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 25 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 25 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 24 |
| 6 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 23 |
| 7 | Shonan Bellmare | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
| 8 | Iwaki FC | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 20 |
| 9 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 20 |
| 10 | Oita | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 19 |
| 11 | Jubilo Iwata | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 19 |
| 12 | Blaublitz Akita | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 17 |
| 13 | Sagan Tosu | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 17 |
| 14 | Tokushima Vortis | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 17 |
| 15 | Fujieda MYFC | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 16 |
| 16 | Montedio Yamagata | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 16 |
| 17 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 14 |
| 18 | Tochigi City | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | 12 |
| 19 | FC Imabari | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 27 | 12 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ventforet Kofu | Albirex Niigata |
|---|---|---|
| Oita | 1-1 D | 1-5 L |
| Yokohama FC | 0-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Iwaki FC | 0-5 L | 3-2 W |
| Tokushima Vortis | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Jubilo Iwata | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Montedio Yamagata | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Albirex Niigata (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ventforet Kofu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Oita Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 21/10 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 10/10 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/09 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Albirex Niigata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 21/10 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Oita Japan J2-League |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 11/10 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ventforet Kofu vs Albirex Niigata?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Albirex Niigata win (42%). Probabilities: Ventforet Kofu 32%, draw 26%, Albirex Niigata 42%.
How many goals are expected in Ventforet Kofu vs Albirex Niigata?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Ventforet Kofu 1.38 · Albirex Niigata 1.6), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ventforet Kofu vs Albirex Niigata?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.