Football · Japan J2-League · 15/11, 05:00
Prediction: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu
Team pages: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · Sagan Tosu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo1.65
Sagan Tosu0.7
1X2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Draw
Sagan Tosu
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Sagan Tosu
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2–2–2
Sagan Tosu
(6 last)
- Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo1-0Sagan Tosu
- Sagan Tosu2-1Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
- Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo5-3Sagan Tosu
- Sagan Tosu4-0Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
- Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo1-1Sagan Tosu
- Sagan Tosu1-1Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (rating 1560 vs 1473).
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.7 | 3.6 / 8.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2–2–2 Sagan Tosu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/25 Japan J2-League | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sagan Tosu |
| 25/05/25 Japan J2-League | Sagan Tosu | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo |
| 16/08/24 Japan J-League | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 5-3 HT 3-0 | Sagan Tosu |
| 02/03/24 Japan J-League | Sagan Tosu | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo |
| 12/08/23 Japan J-League | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sagan Tosu |
| 10/06/23 Japan J-League | Sagan Tosu | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albirex Niigata | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 24 | 32 |
| 2 | Yokohama FC | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 31 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 31 |
| 4 | Vegalta Sendai | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 15 | 30 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 30 |
| 6 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 29 |
| 7 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 26 |
| 8 | Iwaki FC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 23 |
| 9 | Jubilo Iwata | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
| 10 | Shonan Bellmare | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 23 |
| 11 | Oita | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 22 |
| 12 | Blaublitz Akita | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 20 |
| 13 | Sagan Tosu | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 20 |
| 14 | Montedio Yamagata | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 19 |
| 15 | Tokushima Vortis | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 17 |
| 16 | Fujieda MYFC | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 16 |
| 17 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 14 |
| 18 | Tochigi City | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 12 |
| 19 | FC Imabari | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 12 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 34 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | Sagan Tosu |
|---|---|---|
| Vanraure Hachinohe | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Shonan Bellmare | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Kataller Toyama | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Montedio Yamagata | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Blaublitz Akita | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Jubilo Iwata | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Iwaki FC | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/11 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/10 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/10 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/10 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/10 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 26/09 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | Oita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
Sagan Tosu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 03/11 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 31/10 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 25/10 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 21/10 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 04/10 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo win (59%). Probabilities: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 59%, draw 26%, Sagan Tosu 15%.
How many goals are expected in Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1.65 · Sagan Tosu 0.7), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.