Football · Japan J2-League · 15/11, 06:00
Prediction: Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis
Team pages: Kataller Toyama · Tokushima Vortis
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Kataller Toyama2.01
Tokushima Vortis0.81
1X2
Kataller Toyama
Draw
Tokushima Vortis
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Kataller Toyama
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Tokushima Vortis
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kataller Toyama
1–1–2
Tokushima Vortis
(4 last)
- Kataller Toyama2-2Tokushima Vortis
- Tokushima Vortis1-3Kataller Toyama
- Kataller Toyama1-3Tokushima Vortis
- Tokushima Vortis1-0Kataller Toyama
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kataller Toyama (rating 1563 vs 1438).
- H2H favours Tokushima Vortis: 2-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kataller Toyama | Tokushima Vortis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.3 | 1.6 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kataller Toyama 1–1–2 Tokushima Vortis
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Kataller Toyama | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Tokushima Vortis |
| 22/02/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Tokushima Vortis | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Kataller Toyama |
| 28/09/25 Japan J2-League | Kataller Toyama | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Tokushima Vortis |
| 26/04/25 Japan J2-League | Tokushima Vortis | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kataller Toyama |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albirex Niigata | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 24 | 32 |
| 2 | Yokohama FC | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 31 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 31 |
| 4 | Vegalta Sendai | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 15 | 30 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 30 |
| 6 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 29 |
| 7 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 26 |
| 8 | Iwaki FC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 23 |
| 9 | Jubilo Iwata | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
| 10 | Shonan Bellmare | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 23 |
| 11 | Oita | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 22 |
| 12 | Blaublitz Akita | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 20 |
| 13 | Sagan Tosu | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 20 |
| 14 | Montedio Yamagata | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 19 |
| 15 | Tokushima Vortis | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 17 |
| 16 | Fujieda MYFC | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 16 |
| 17 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 14 |
| 18 | Tochigi City | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 12 |
| 19 | FC Imabari | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 12 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 34 | 12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kataller Toyama | Tokushima Vortis |
|---|---|---|
| Vegalta Sendai | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Albirex Niigata | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Ventforet Kofu | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Yokohama FC | 3-3 D | 0-1 L |
| Montedio Yamagata | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Kataller Toyama (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kataller Toyama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/11 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 31/10 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 21/10 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 11/10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 03/10 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 19/09 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Tokushima Vortis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/11 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 31/10 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 24/10 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 21/10 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 17/10 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kataller Toyama win (64%). Probabilities: Kataller Toyama 64%, draw 22%, Tokushima Vortis 13%.
How many goals are expected in Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Kataller Toyama 2.01 · Tokushima Vortis 0.81), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.