Football · Japan J2-League · 14/11, 06:00
Prediction: Oita vs Tochigi City
Team pages: Oita · Tochigi City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Oita2.1
Tochigi City0.83
1X2
Oita
Draw
Tochigi City
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Oita
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Tochigi City
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oita (rating 1519 vs 1383).
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oita | Tochigi City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 0.8 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.5 |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albirex Niigata | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 24 | 32 |
| 2 | Yokohama FC | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 31 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 31 |
| 4 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 27 | 18 | 27 |
| 6 | Vegalta Sendai | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 14 | 27 |
| 7 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 26 |
| 8 | Iwaki FC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 23 |
| 9 | Oita | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 22 |
| 10 | Jubilo Iwata | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 22 |
| 11 | Shonan Bellmare | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 22 |
| 12 | Blaublitz Akita | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 20 |
| 13 | Sagan Tosu | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 20 |
| 14 | Montedio Yamagata | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 19 |
| 15 | Tokushima Vortis | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 17 |
| 16 | Fujieda MYFC | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 16 |
| 17 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 14 |
| 18 | Tochigi City | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 12 |
| 19 | FC Imabari | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 12 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 12 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oita | Tochigi City |
|---|---|---|
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Ventforet Kofu | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Yokohama FC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Fujieda MYFC | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Oita (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oita
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 03/11 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 31/10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 21/10 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 10/10 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 19/09 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
Tochigi City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 31/10 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 21/10 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 17/10 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 10/10 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 03/10 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oita vs Tochigi City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Oita win (66%). Probabilities: Oita 66%, draw 21%, Tochigi City 13%.
How many goals are expected in Oita vs Tochigi City?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Oita 2.1 · Tochigi City 0.83), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Oita vs Tochigi City?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.