Football · USA USL League Two · 08/07, 02:00

Prediction: Texoma FC vs Denton Diablos FC

Expected goals: 3.32 (Texoma FC 1.85 · Denton Diablos FC 1.47). The model gives 46% home, 24% draw, 30% away. Under 3.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Texoma FC is 7-0-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Denton Diablos FC 7-1-2 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Texoma FC won 1 and Denton Diablos FC 1.

46%1
46% 24% 30%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Texoma FC 1556 · Denton Diablos FC 1563
Texoma FCDrawDenton Diablos FC
Our model46%24%30%
Market46%24%30%
Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.32Texoma FC 1.85 · Denton Diablos FC 1.47
Over / Under 3.25Under 3.25 · 52%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Texoma FCDenton Diablos FC
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 0.92.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.10.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/20/10%40/0/60%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 51.5 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.5 / 03.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Texoma FC 101 Denton Diablos FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/06/26
USA USL League Two
Denton Diablos FC2-1
HT 1-0
Texoma FC
31/05/26
USA USL League Two
Texoma FC2-0
HT 2-0
Denton Diablos FC

Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Ranger Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Denton Diablos FC 10712 231522
2 Texoma FC 10703 23921
3 McKinney Chupacabras FC 11722 221323
4 West Texas FC 10334 231912
5 Lubbock Matadors SC 10325 141311
6 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC 110011 4400

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTexoma FCDenton Diablos FC
McKinney Chupacabras FC 2-0 W 3-1 W
Lubbock Matadors SC 2-1 W 2-1 W
West Texas FC 1-0 W 3-2 W
Fort Worth Vaqueros FC 4-1 W 4-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 0 L 4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Denton Diablos FC (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Texoma FC

WLWWWLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 McKinney Chupacabras FC
USA USL League Two
1-0 2-0 W
28/06 Lubbock Matadors SC
USA USL League Two
0-0 2-1 W
19/06 West Texas FC
USA USL League Two
1-0 1-0 53 W
14/06 Denton Diablos FC
USA USL League Two
0-1 1-2 L
11/06 West Texas FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-2 L
07/06 Lubbock Matadors SC
USA USL League Two
1-0 2-1 W
03/06 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC
USA USL League Two
2-0 4-1 80 W
31/05 Denton Diablos FC
USA USL League Two
2-0 2-0 55 W
27/05 McKinney Chupacabras FC
USA USL League Two
1-0 1-2 L
20/05 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC
USA USL League Two
3-0 7-0 22 W

Denton Diablos FC

WLWLWWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 West Texas FC
USA USL League Two
0-2 3-2 56 W
28/06 West Texas FC
USA USL League Two
2-1 5-5 D
23/06 McKinney Chupacabras FC
USA USL League Two
0-1 3-1 42 W
21/06 Lubbock Matadors SC
USA USL League Two
0-1 2-1 W
14/06 Texoma FC
USA USL League Two
1-0 2-1 W
04/06 Lubbock Matadors SC
USA USL League Two
0-1 2-1 W
31/05 Texoma FC
USA USL League Two
0-2 0-2 55 L
24/05 West Texas FC
USA USL League Two
1-0 1-0 16 W
17/05 McKinney Chupacabras FC
USA USL League Two
1-2 1-2 L
10/05 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC
USA USL League Two
1-0 4-0 20 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Texoma FC vs Denton Diablos FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Texoma FC win (46%). Probabilities: Texoma FC 46%, draw 24%, Denton Diablos FC 30%.

How many goals are expected in Texoma FC vs Denton Diablos FC?

The model expects 3.32 goals (Texoma FC 1.85 · Denton Diablos FC 1.47), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Texoma FC vs Denton Diablos FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.