Prediction: New England FC vs Boston City FC
Expected goals: 4.5 (New England FC 3.25 · Boston City FC 1.25). The model gives 81% home, 11% draw, 8% away. Over 4.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 3-1.
Recent form leaves New England FC with 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Boston City FC has piled up 0-2-8 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for New England FC and 0 for Boston City FC.
| New England FC | Draw | Boston City FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 86% | 9% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours New England FC (rating 1572 vs 1379).
- H2H favours New England FC: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| New England FC | Boston City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 4.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.4 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · New England FC 3–0–0 Boston City FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 USA USL League Two | Boston City FC | 0-2 HT 0-2 | New England FC |
| 12/06/25 USA USL League Two | New England FC | 4-2 HT 4-1 | Boston City FC |
| 29/05/25 USA USL League Two | Boston City FC | 0-8 HT 0-4 | New England FC |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Northeast Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vermont Green | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 54 | 8 | 34 |
| 2 | New England FC | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 30 |
| 3 | Western Mass Pioneers | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 24 |
| 4 | Black Rock FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 18 |
| 5 | Albany Rush | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 32 | 19 |
| 6 | Seacoast United Phantoms | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25 | 13 |
| 7 | Connecticut Rush | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 14 |
| 8 | Boston Bolts | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 11 |
| 9 | AC Connecticut | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 6 |
| 10 | Boston City FC | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 45 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | New England FC | Boston City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Vermont Green | 0-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Connecticut Rush | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Seacoast United Phantoms | 2-1 W | 2-5 L |
| Boston Bolts | 2-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Western Mass Pioneers | 4-2 W | 2-5 L |
| Albany Rush | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| AC Connecticut | 4-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: New England FC (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
New England FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/06 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 04/06 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 28/05 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Boston City FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 28/06 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 24/06 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
1-4 | 1-10 | – | – | L |
| 17/06 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/06 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in New England FC vs Boston City FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a New England FC win (81%). Probabilities: New England FC 81%, draw 11%, Boston City FC 8%.
How many goals are expected in New England FC vs Boston City FC?
The model expects 4.5 goals (New England FC 3.25 · Boston City FC 1.25), with a 52% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in New England FC vs Boston City FC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.