Football · USA USL League Two · 17/07, 02:30
Prediction: Peoria City vs Sueno
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
Peoria City2.04
Sueno1.38
1X2
Peoria City
Draw
Sueno
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Peoria City
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Sueno
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Peoria City
2–0
Sueno
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Peoria City 1582 · Sueno 1555
| Peoria City | Draw | Sueno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 23% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 23% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Peoria City: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Peoria City | Sueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.1 | 3.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 1.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4 | 2.3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Peoria City 2–0–0 Sueno
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/24 USA USL League Two | Sueno | 2-4 HT 1-3 | Peoria City |
| 30/05/24 USA USL League Two | Peoria City | 6-0 HT 1-0 | Sueno |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Heartland Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minneapolis City SC | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 6 | 36 |
| 2 | Sueno | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Chicago Dutch Lions | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 19 |
| 4 | St Croix SC | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 18 |
| 5 | Rockford Raptors | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 18 |
| 6 | RKC Third Coast | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 16 |
| 7 | River Light SC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 11 |
| 8 | Edgewater Castle FC | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 6 |
| 8 | Rochester FC | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 6 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peoria City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Springfield FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/07 | Sunflower State FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | St. Louis Ambush USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 28/06 | Des Moines Menace USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | St. Louis Ambush USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Sunflower State FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Springfield FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Santafe Wanderers USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | Santafe Wanderers USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 28/05 | Springfield FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
Sueno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Chicago Dutch Lions USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/07 | RKC Third Coast USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/06 | St Croix SC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/06 | Rockford Raptors USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Rockford Raptors USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Minneapolis City SC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 04/06 | River Light SC USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 29/05 | Edgewater Castle FC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Chicago Dutch Lions USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | St Croix SC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peoria City vs Sueno?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Peoria City win (52%). Probabilities: Peoria City 52%, draw 23%, Sueno 25%.
How many goals are expected in Peoria City vs Sueno?
The model expects 3.42 goals (Peoria City 2.04 · Sueno 1.38), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Peoria City vs Sueno?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.