Football · USA USL League Two · 17/07, 18:00

Prediction: Charlotte Independence II vs Appalachian FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Charlotte Independence II1.58
Appalachian FC1.37
1X2
42% 25% 33%
Charlotte Independence II Draw Appalachian FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Charlotte Independence II 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWDWWLWW
Appalachian FC 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
WWWDDDWWWW
Head-to-head
Charlotte Independence II 1–1–0 Appalachian FC (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Charlotte Independence II 1604 · Appalachian FC 1577
Charlotte Independence IIDrawAppalachian FC
Our model41%27%32%
Market43%24%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Charlotte Independence IIAppalachian FC
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 0.52 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.31 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)0 / 02 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 02 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlotte Independence II 110 Appalachian FC

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
21/06/26
USA USL League Two
Charlotte Independence II0-0
HT 0-0
Appalachian FC
28/05/26
USA USL League Two
Appalachian FC1-4
HT 1-2
Charlotte Independence II

Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, South Atlantic Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Charlotte Independence II 141121 32935
2 Asheville City SC 14851 24829
3 Appalachian FC 14842 301328
4 Hickory FC 14914 281528
5 Charlotte Eagles 14536 222418
6 SC United Bantams 14536 232718
7 Salem City FC 14527 242917
8 North Carolina FC II 14527 233017
9 Tobacco Road 14338 263412
10 Wake FC 143011 16399
11 Port City FC 142111 14347

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCharlotte Independence IIAppalachian FC
North Carolina FC II 3-1 W 4-0 W
SC United Bantams 4-1 W 1-0 W
Asheville City SC 0-1 L 1-1 D
Hickory FC 2-0 W 2-1 W
Salem City FC 3-1 W 5-2 W
Port City FC 4-1 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 1 L 5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Appalachian FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Charlotte Independence II

WWWWDWWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 North Carolina FC II
USA USL League Two
1-1 3-1 W
09/07 SC United Bantams
USA USL League Two
3-1 4-1 02 W
30/06 Asheville City SC
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-1 L
28/06 Hickory FC
USA USL League Two
1-0 2-0 W
23/06 Wake FC
USA USL League Two
2-0 4-0 W
21/06 Appalachian FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-0 D
18/06 Salem City FC
USA USL League Two
2-0 3-1 W
14/06 Charlotte Eagles
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-0 W
11/06 Port City FC
USA USL League Two
3-1 4-1 W
07/06 Charlotte Eagles
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-0 W

Appalachian FC

WWWDDDWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/07 LVU Rush
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-0 42 W
13/07 SC United Bantams
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-0 W
04/07 Hickory FC
USA USL League Two
0-1 2-1 W
28/06 Port City FC
USA USL League Two
2-0 3-0 W
21/06 Charlotte Independence II
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-0 D
18/06 Tobacco Road
USA USL League Two
1-0 1-1 D
14/06 Asheville City SC
USA USL League Two
1-1 1-1 D
11/06 Salem City FC
USA USL League Two
3-0 5-2 W
07/06 Hickory FC
USA USL League Two
0-1 2-1 W
04/06 North Carolina FC II
USA USL League Two
3-0 4-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Charlotte Independence II vs Appalachian FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Charlotte Independence II win (42%). Probabilities: Charlotte Independence II 42%, draw 25%, Appalachian FC 33%.

How many goals are expected in Charlotte Independence II vs Appalachian FC?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Charlotte Independence II 1.58 · Appalachian FC 1.37), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Charlotte Independence II vs Appalachian FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.