Prediction: Union FC Macomb vs AFC Ann Arbor
Expected goals: 3.95 (Union FC Macomb 1.93 · AFC Ann Arbor 2.02). The model gives 37% home, 23% draw, 40% away. Over 3.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Union FC Macomb is 2-2-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and AFC Ann Arbor 5-0-5 over its own. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Union FC Macomb and 3 for AFC Ann Arbor, with 1 draw.
| Union FC Macomb | Draw | AFC Ann Arbor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 22% | 40% |
| Market | 37% | 24% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Ann Arbor (rating 1434 vs 1496).
- H2H favours AFC Ann Arbor: 3-1-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union FC Macomb | AFC Ann Arbor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.9 | 1.8 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.3 | 2.5 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union FC Macomb 1–1–3 AFC Ann Arbor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 USA USL League Two | AFC Ann Arbor | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Union FC Macomb |
| 09/07/25 USA USL League Two | AFC Ann Arbor | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Union FC Macomb |
| 24/05/25 USA USL League Two | Union FC Macomb | 1-1 HT 1-1 | AFC Ann Arbor |
| 19/06/24 USA USL League Two | Union FC Macomb | 2-3 HT 0-1 | AFC Ann Arbor |
| 12/05/24 USA USL League Two | AFC Ann Arbor | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Union FC Macomb |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Great Lakes Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flint City Bucks | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 | Oakland County FC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | Kalamazoo FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 16 |
| 4 | AFC Ann Arbor | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 15 |
| 5 | Midwest United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 13 |
| 6 | Union FC Macomb | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 7 |
| 7 | Lansing City Football | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union FC Macomb | AFC Ann Arbor |
|---|---|---|
| Lansing City Football | 2-3 L | 5-2 W |
| Oakland County FC | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Kalamazoo FC | 2-7 L | 2-4 L |
| Midwest United | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Flint City Bucks | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: AFC Ann Arbor (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union FC Macomb
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Lansing City Football USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Oakland County FC USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 07/06 | Kalamazoo FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-7 | – | – | L |
| 03/06 | Midwest United USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | AFC Ann Arbor USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Flint City Bucks USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Oakland County FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | Kalamazoo FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | Northern Indiana FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/07 | AFC Ann Arbor USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
AFC Ann Arbor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Oakland County FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Lansing City Football USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/06 | Flint City Bucks USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Kalamazoo FC USA USL League Two |
2-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Midwest United USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Flint City Bucks USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Oakland County FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Union FC Macomb USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Lansing City Football USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 20/05 | Midwest United USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union FC Macomb vs AFC Ann Arbor?
According to our model, the most likely result is an AFC Ann Arbor win (40%). Probabilities: Union FC Macomb 37%, draw 23%, AFC Ann Arbor 40%.
How many goals are expected in Union FC Macomb vs AFC Ann Arbor?
The model expects 3.95 goals (Union FC Macomb 1.93 · AFC Ann Arbor 2.02), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Union FC Macomb vs AFC Ann Arbor?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.