Prediction: Vermont Green vs Connecticut Rush
Expected goals: 4.09 (Vermont Green 2.78 · Connecticut Rush 1.31). The model gives 67% home, 17% draw, 15% away. Under 4.25 goals (54%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Recent form leaves Vermont Green with 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses over 10 games; Connecticut Rush has piled up 3-1-6 in the same span.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vermont Green (rating 1625 vs 1460).
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vermont Green | Connecticut Rush | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.8 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.2 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 8 | 2.3 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Northeast Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vermont Green | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 54 | 8 | 34 |
| 2 | New England FC | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 30 |
| 3 | Western Mass Pioneers | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 24 |
| 4 | Black Rock FC | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 19 |
| 5 | Albany Rush | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 32 | 19 |
| 6 | Connecticut Rush | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 14 |
| 6 | Seacoast United Phantoms | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 28 | 14 |
| 8 | Boston Bolts | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 11 |
| 9 | AC Connecticut | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 6 |
| 10 | Boston City FC | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 45 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vermont Green | Connecticut Rush |
|---|---|---|
| New England FC | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Boston City FC | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Seacoast United Phantoms | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| AC Connecticut | 4-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Boston Bolts | 5-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Albany Rush | 9-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Vermont Green (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vermont Green
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
4-1 | 10-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/06 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/06 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/05 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 9-0 | – | – | W |
Connecticut Rush
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 28/06 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/06 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 04/06 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/05 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vermont Green vs Connecticut Rush?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vermont Green win (67%). Probabilities: Vermont Green 67%, draw 17%, Connecticut Rush 15%.
How many goals are expected in Vermont Green vs Connecticut Rush?
The model expects 4.09 goals (Vermont Green 2.78 · Connecticut Rush 1.31), with a 54% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Vermont Green vs Connecticut Rush?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.