Prediction: Hudson Valley Hammers vs FC Motown STA
Expected goals: 3.84 (Hudson Valley Hammers 1.58 · FC Motown STA 2.26). The model gives 26% home, 22% draw, 52% away. Over 3.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 1-2.
On recent form, Hudson Valley Hammers is 5-2-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and FC Motown STA 8-1-1 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Hudson Valley Hammers won 1 and FC Motown STA 3, with 2 draws.
| Hudson Valley Hammers | Draw | FC Motown STA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 22% | 52% |
| Market | 26% | 22% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Motown STA (rating 1537 vs 1594).
- H2H favours FC Motown STA: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hudson Valley Hammers | FC Motown STA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 2 | 3.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.8 | 3.8 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hudson Valley Hammers 1–2–3 FC Motown STA
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/26 USA USL League Two | FC Motown STA | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Hudson Valley Hammers |
| 21/05/25 USA USL League Two | FC Motown STA | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hudson Valley Hammers |
| 11/07/24 USA USL League Two | Hudson Valley Hammers | 2-2 HT 2-0 | FC Motown STA |
| 16/06/24 USA USL League Two | FC Motown STA | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Hudson Valley Hammers |
| 25/06/23 USA USL League Two | Hudson Valley Hammers | 1-4 HT 0-3 | FC Motown STA |
| 21/05/23 USA USL League Two | FC Motown STA | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Hudson Valley Hammers |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Metropolitan Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ironbound | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Motown STA | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | Long Island Rough Riders | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Hudson Valley Hammers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 17 |
| 5 | Cedar Stars Rush | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 17 |
| 6 | Manhattan SC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 23 | 12 |
| 7 | New Jersey Copa | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 7 |
| 8 | Staten Island ASC | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 7 |
| 9 | Morris Elite | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 6 |
| 10 | Westchester Flames | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hudson Valley Hammers | FC Motown STA |
|---|---|---|
| Manhattan SC | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Morris Elite | 4-3 W | 8-0 W |
| Westchester Flames | 3-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Staten Island ASC | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Long Island Rough Riders | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| New Jersey Copa | 4-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Ironbound | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Motown STA (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hudson Valley Hammers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/06 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 25/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 17/06 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 28/05 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
FC Motown STA
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 8-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/06 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/06 | Hudson Valley Hammers USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 07/06 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 04/06 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Cedar Stars Rush USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 5-3 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hudson Valley Hammers vs FC Motown STA?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Motown STA win (52%). Probabilities: Hudson Valley Hammers 26%, draw 22%, FC Motown STA 52%.
How many goals are expected in Hudson Valley Hammers vs FC Motown STA?
The model expects 3.84 goals (Hudson Valley Hammers 1.58 · FC Motown STA 2.26), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hudson Valley Hammers vs FC Motown STA?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.