Prediction: Tacoma Stars vs Midlakes United
Expected goals: 3.76 (Tacoma Stars 2.05 · Midlakes United 1.7). The model gives 45% home, 23% draw, 32% away. Over 3.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Tacoma Stars sits at 3-2-5 (W-D-L), while Midlakes United arrives on a 3-0-7 run. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Tacoma Stars and 2 for Midlakes United, with 2 draws.
| Tacoma Stars | Draw | Midlakes United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 23% | 32% |
| Market | 45% | 23% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Midlakes United: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tacoma Stars | Midlakes United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.6 | 1.5 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.6 | 1.7 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tacoma Stars 1–2–2 Midlakes United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 USA USL League Two | Midlakes United | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Tacoma Stars |
| 28/06/25 USA USL League Two | Midlakes United | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tacoma Stars |
| 26/05/25 USA USL League Two | Tacoma Stars | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Midlakes United |
| 01/07/24 USA USL League Two | Tacoma Stars | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Midlakes United |
| 26/06/24 USA USL League Two | Midlakes United | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Tacoma Stars |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Northwest Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballard FC | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 10 | 31 |
| 2 | Snohomish United | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Portland Bangers | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 24 |
| 4 | Midlakes United | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 13 |
| 5 | West Seattle Junction FC | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | 12 |
| 6 | Tacoma Stars | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 13 |
| 7 | Bigfoot FC | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 9 |
| 8 | FC Olympia | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tacoma Stars | Midlakes United |
|---|---|---|
| Ballard FC | 0-7 L | 2-3 L |
| Snohomish United | 2-2 D | 0-4 L |
| West Seattle Junction FC | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Bigfoot FC | 1-3 L | 6-1 W |
| FC Olympia | 5-4 W | 1-3 L |
| Portland Bangers | 3-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Midlakes United (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tacoma Stars
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Ballard FC USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-7 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Snohomish United USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/07 | Snohomish United USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/06 | West Seattle Junction FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 21/06 | Bigfoot FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | FC Olympia USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 5-4 | – | – | W |
| 08/06 | Bigfoot FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 04/06 | Ballard FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 31/05 | Portland Bangers USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | FC Olympia USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Midlakes United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Portland Bangers USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Ballard FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | Snohomish United USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | FC Olympia USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | West Seattle Junction FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | West Seattle Junction FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Snohomish United USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/06 | Portland Bangers USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Ballard FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/05 | Bigfoot FC USA USL League Two |
5-0 | 6-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tacoma Stars vs Midlakes United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tacoma Stars win (45%). Probabilities: Tacoma Stars 45%, draw 23%, Midlakes United 32%.
How many goals are expected in Tacoma Stars vs Midlakes United?
The model expects 3.76 goals (Tacoma Stars 2.05 · Midlakes United 1.7), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tacoma Stars vs Midlakes United?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.