Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: FK Proleter 023 vs OFK Vrsac

Team pages: FK Proleter 023 · OFK Vrsac

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.16Total

FK Proleter 0231.18

OFK Vrsac0.99

1X2

40% 30% 30%

FK Proleter 023 Draw OFK Vrsac

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Proleter 023 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DDDLWWDDWW

OFK Vrsac 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLDLWDW

Head-to-head

FK Proleter 023 0–1 OFK Vrsac (1 last)

OFK Vrsac1-0FK Proleter 023

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Proleter 023 1536 · OFK Vrsac 1513

	FK Proleter 023	Draw	OFK Vrsac
Our model	39%	32%	29%
Market	40%	29%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Proleter 023	OFK Vrsac
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.9	2.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.2 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.10

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 09:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.30 → 3.10▼	Pinn 3.21
2	2.75 → 2.88▲	Pinn 3.24 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:16 +8’	2.20	3.30	2.75
20:04 +15’	2.38▲	3.10▼	2.63▼
09:31 +2’	2.20▼	3.10	2.88▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:31 +3’	2.00	3.18	3.22
10:57 +23’	2.01▲	3.21▲	3.24▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Proleter 023 0–0–1 OFK Vrsac

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Serbia Prva Liga	OFK Vrsac	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Proleter 023

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Javor Ivanjica	16	9	6	1	38	18	33
2	FK Backa Topola	16	9	6	1	36	18	33
3	Borac Cacak	16	10	3	3	29	20	33
4	OFK Vrsac	16	9	2	5	20	15	29
5	Smederevo	16	7	4	5	22	18	25
6	FK Dubocica	16	6	5	5	16	17	23
7	Spartak Subotica	16	6	4	6	25	28	22
8	FK Napredak	16	6	4	6	14	17	22
9	FK Proleter 023	16	5	6	5	23	17	21
10	FK Vozdovac	16	5	5	6	15	14	20
11	Loznica	16	4	8	4	19	22	20
12	Metalac Gornji	16	5	3	8	19	25	18
13	Jedinstvo UB	16	5	2	9	20	26	17
14	FK Graficar Beograd	16	4	2	10	20	29	14
15	Teleoptik	16	3	4	9	20	29	13
16	Bor 1919	16	2	2	12	8	31	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Proleter 023	OFK Vrsac
Loznica	1-0 W	1-1 D
FK Vozdovac	2-1 W	0-2 L
Smederevo	1-1 D	0-1 L
FK Napredak	0-0 D	2-1 W
Spartak Subotica	6-0 W	0-2 L
FK Backa Topola	1-1 D	2-1 W
Teleoptik	1-1 D	1-0 W
Metalac Gornji	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 5 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Proleter 023 (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Proleter 023

DDDLWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	3	12	W
24/10	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	2-1	2-1	4	3	W
17/10	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
11/10	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
04/10	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	3-0	6-0	4	5	W
28/09	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	2	8	W
21/09	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	1-2	2-4	4	3	L
16/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	8	5	D
10/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
05/09	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	1	7	D

OFK Vrsac

LWWWLDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-1	3	10	W
24/10	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
16/10	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
11/10	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
04/10	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
26/09	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
21/09	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
16/09	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
12/09	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	4-1	4-1	1	4	W
05/09	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Proleter 023 vs OFK Vrsac?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Proleter 023 win (40%). Probabilities: FK Proleter 023 40%, draw 30%, OFK Vrsac 30%.

How many goals are expected in FK Proleter 023 vs OFK Vrsac?

The model expects 2.16 goals (FK Proleter 023 1.18 · OFK Vrsac 0.99), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Proleter 023 vs OFK Vrsac?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.