Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Borac Cacak vs Jedinstvo UB

Team pages: Borac Cacak · Jedinstvo UB

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Borac Cacak1.97

Jedinstvo UB0.81

1X2

64% 23% 14%

Borac Cacak Draw Jedinstvo UB

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Borac Cacak 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLWDL

Jedinstvo UB 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDLWLLLD

Head-to-head

Borac Cacak 3–1 Jedinstvo UB (4 last)

Borac Cacak1-0Jedinstvo UB
Borac Cacak1-2Jedinstvo UB
Jedinstvo UB3-4Borac Cacak
Borac Cacak1-0Jedinstvo UB

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Borac Cacak 1554 · Jedinstvo UB 1424

	Borac Cacak	Draw	Jedinstvo UB
Our model	64%	23%	14%
Market	64%	23%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Borac Cacak (rating 1554 vs 1424).
H2H favours Borac Cacak: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Borac Cacak	Jedinstvo UB
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.3	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.8	1.6 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X3.90

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.93

2 (+1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 01:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.40▲	Pinn 1.40
X	4.00 → 3.90▼	Pinn 3.98 ★
2	7.00 → 6.50▼	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:16 +35’	1.38	4.00	7.00
22:54 +11’	1.30▼	4.20▲	8.50▲
01:21 +5’	1.40▲	3.90▼	6.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:28 +16’	1.40	3.98	6.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Borac Cacak 3–0–1 Jedinstvo UB

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/02/26 Serbia Prva Liga	Borac Cacak	1-0 HT 1-0	Jedinstvo UB
03/12/25 Serbia Cup	Borac Cacak	1-2 HT 1-0	Jedinstvo UB
14/09/25 Serbia Prva Liga	Jedinstvo UB	3-4 HT 0-3	Borac Cacak
23/04/22 Serbia Srpska Liga	Borac Cacak	1-0 HT 1-0	Jedinstvo UB

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borac Cacak	13	9	1	3	24	17	28
2	FK Backa Topola	12	6	6	0	24	13	24
3	Smederevo	12	7	3	2	21	13	24
4	Javor Ivanjica	12	6	5	1	29	14	23
5	OFK Vrsac	12	7	1	4	16	11	22
6	Metalac Gornji	13	5	3	5	16	15	18
7	FK Napredak	12	5	2	5	13	15	17
8	FK Dubocica	12	4	4	4	13	15	16
9	FK Vozdovac	12	4	3	5	11	11	15
10	Loznica	12	3	6	3	16	19	15
11	Spartak Subotica	12	4	3	5	18	23	15
12	FK Proleter 023	12	3	4	5	19	15	13
13	Teleoptik	13	3	4	6	17	23	13
14	FK Graficar Beograd	12	3	1	8	16	23	10
15	Jedinstvo UB	13	2	2	9	12	24	8
16	Bor 1919	12	2	2	8	7	21	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Borac Cacak	Jedinstvo UB
Javor Ivanjica	1-3 L	0-3 L
FK Backa Topola	2-2 D	2-3 L
OFK Vrsac	2-1 W	1-3 L
FK Dubocica	2-0 W	0-0 D
FK Proleter 023	2-1 W	0-3 L
Loznica	3-2 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Borac Cacak (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Borac Cacak

WWWWWWLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	1-3	4	6	L
26/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-2	2	1	D
20/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-1	8	9	W
16/09	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-2	2	6	L
13/09	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
05/09	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
30/08	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-1	7	6	W
23/08	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	1	7	W
19/08	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
14/08	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	3-2	10	4	W

Jedinstvo UB

LLLDLWLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
28/09	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-3	2	8	L
21/09	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-3	5	5	L
16/09	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
12/09	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
05/09	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
29/08	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
23/08	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
19/08	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
15/08	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	2-3	7	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Borac Cacak vs Jedinstvo UB?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Borac Cacak win (64%). Probabilities: Borac Cacak 64%, draw 23%, Jedinstvo UB 14%.

How many goals are expected in Borac Cacak vs Jedinstvo UB?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Borac Cacak 1.97 · Jedinstvo UB 0.81), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Borac Cacak vs Jedinstvo UB?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.