Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Metalac Gornji vs Teleoptik

Team pages: Metalac Gornji · Teleoptik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Metalac Gornji1.67

Teleoptik0.82

1X2

57% 25% 18%

Metalac Gornji Draw Teleoptik

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Metalac Gornji 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDLLDWWWWD

Teleoptik 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDDLDDLLLW

Head-to-head

Metalac Gornji 3–1–1 Teleoptik (5 last)

Teleoptik1-2Metalac Gornji
Metalac Gornji1-1Teleoptik
Metalac Gornji2-3Teleoptik
Teleoptik1-2Metalac Gornji
Teleoptik0-1Metalac Gornji

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Metalac Gornji 1527 · Teleoptik 1472

	Metalac Gornji	Draw	Teleoptik
Our model	57%	26%	17%
Market	58%	24%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metalac Gornji (rating 1527 vs 1472).
H2H favours Metalac Gornji: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Metalac Gornji	Teleoptik
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.8	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.2	1.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.70

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.02

2 (+1)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 12:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.57▼	Bet365 1.57
X	3.30 → 3.70▲	Pinn 3.86 ★
2	3.30 → 5.00▲	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:47 +14’	1.95	3.30	3.30
09:03 +4’	1.85▼	3.40▲	3.60▲
12:39 +13’	1.57▼	3.70▲	5.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:14 +53’	1.72	3.38	3.90
10:00 +30’	1.78▲	3.38	3.71▼
12:09 +43’	1.55▼	3.86▲	4.84▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Metalac Gornji 3–1–1 Teleoptik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/12/18 Serbia Prva Liga	Teleoptik	1-2 HT 0-1	Metalac Gornji
17/09/18 Serbia Prva Liga	Metalac Gornji	1-1 HT 0-0	Teleoptik
28/03/18 Serbia Prva Liga	Metalac Gornji	2-3 HT 0-1	Teleoptik
04/09/17 Serbia Prva Liga	Teleoptik	1-2 HT 1-1	Metalac Gornji
29/03/14 Serbia Prva Liga	Teleoptik	0-1 HT 0-0	Metalac Gornji

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borac Cacak	13	9	1	3	24	17	28
2	FK Backa Topola	12	6	6	0	24	13	24
3	Smederevo	12	7	3	2	21	13	24
4	Javor Ivanjica	12	6	5	1	29	14	23
5	OFK Vrsac	12	7	1	4	16	11	22
6	Metalac Gornji	13	5	3	5	16	15	18
7	FK Napredak	12	5	2	5	13	15	17
8	FK Dubocica	12	4	4	4	13	15	16
9	FK Vozdovac	12	4	3	5	11	11	15
10	Loznica	12	3	6	3	16	19	15
11	Spartak Subotica	12	4	3	5	18	23	15
12	FK Proleter 023	12	3	4	5	19	15	13
13	Teleoptik	13	3	4	6	17	23	13
14	FK Graficar Beograd	12	3	1	8	16	23	10
15	Jedinstvo UB	13	2	2	9	12	24	8
16	Bor 1919	12	2	2	8	7	21	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Metalac Gornji	Teleoptik
Bor 1919	2-0 W	2-0 W
FK Graficar Beograd	1-0 W	1-4 L
Borac Cacak	2-1 W	1-2 L
FK Dubocica	5-0 W	0-2 L
FK Proleter 023	0-0 D	1-1 D
Loznica	2-4 L	1-1 D
FK Vozdovac	0-1 L	1-2 L
Smederevo	0-0 D	1-1 D
FK Napredak	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 4 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Metalac Gornji (3 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Metalac Gornji

LDLLDWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
28/09	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
21/09	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
16/09	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	2-1	4	6	W
11/09	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	3-0	5-0	3	5	W
05/09	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
29/08	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-4	6	0	L
23/08	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	9	5	L
19/08	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
14/08	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-2	8	10	L

Teleoptik

WDDLDDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
28/09	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	1-3	1-4	4	2	L
20/09	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-2	2	9	L
16/09	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
10/09	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	1	7	D
06/09	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
01/09	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	1-2	4	3	L
24/08	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
19/08	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
14/08	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	4-2	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Metalac Gornji vs Teleoptik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Metalac Gornji win (57%). Probabilities: Metalac Gornji 57%, draw 25%, Teleoptik 18%.

How many goals are expected in Metalac Gornji vs Teleoptik?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Metalac Gornji 1.67 · Teleoptik 0.82), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Metalac Gornji vs Teleoptik?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.