Football · Serbia Super Liga · 22/08, 18:00
Prediction: FK Macva Sabac vs Radnicki Nis
Team pages: FK Macva Sabac · Radnicki Nis
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
FK Macva Sabac1.05
Radnicki Nis1.16
1X2
FK Macva Sabac
Draw
Radnicki Nis
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Macva Sabac
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Radnicki Nis
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Macva Sabac
0–1–5
Radnicki Nis
(6 last)
- Radnicki Nis2-0FK Macva Sabac
- FK Macva Sabac0-0Radnicki Nis
- FK Macva Sabac0-2Radnicki Nis
- Radnicki Nis1-0FK Macva Sabac
- Radnicki Nis3-1FK Macva Sabac
- FK Macva Sabac0-1Radnicki Nis
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Macva Sabac 1442 · Radnicki Nis 1513
| FK Macva Sabac | Draw | Radnicki Nis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 32% | 37% |
| Market | 33% | 29% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Radnicki Nis (rating 1442 vs 1513).
- H2H favours Radnicki Nis: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Macva Sabac | Radnicki Nis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.9 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.4 | 2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Macva Sabac 0–1–5 Radnicki Nis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/25 Serbia Super Liga Play-Offs | Radnicki Nis | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FK Macva Sabac |
| 28/05/25 Serbia Super Liga Play-Offs | FK Macva Sabac | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Radnicki Nis |
| 22/02/21 Serbia Super Liga | FK Macva Sabac | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Radnicki Nis |
| 15/08/20 Serbia Super Liga | Radnicki Nis | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Macva Sabac |
| 14/03/20 Serbia Super Liga | Radnicki Nis | 3-1 HT 1-1 | FK Macva Sabac |
| 05/10/19 Serbia Super Liga | FK Macva Sabac | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Radnicki Nis |
Standings · Serbia Super Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IMT Novi Belgrade | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | FK Cukaricki | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Vojvodina | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Mladost Lucani | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | FK Radnicki 1923 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | OFK Beograd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
| 8 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | Partizan Belgrade | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Radnicki Nis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | FK Novi Pazar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 13 | FK Macva Sabac | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 3 |
| 14 | FK Zemun | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Macva Sabac
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/08 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 26/07 | Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 12 | L |
| 17/07 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
0-3 | 0-5 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 14/07 | FK Proleter 023 Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Mladost Lucani Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/07 | FK Novi Pazar Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | OFK Petrovac Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Loznica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Radnicki Nis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | Radnicki Pirot Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/07 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/07 | Neftchi Baku Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 07/07 | FK Pribram Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 01/07 | FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Spartak Subotica Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | FK Backa Topola Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Macva Sabac vs Radnicki Nis?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Radnicki Nis win (38%). Probabilities: FK Macva Sabac 32%, draw 30%, Radnicki Nis 38%.
How many goals are expected in FK Macva Sabac vs Radnicki Nis?
The model expects 2.21 goals (FK Macva Sabac 1.05 · Radnicki Nis 1.16), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Macva Sabac vs Radnicki Nis?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.