Football · Serbia Super Liga · 13/09, 19:00
Prediction: IMT Novi Belgrade vs Crvena Zvezda
Team pages: IMT Novi Belgrade · Crvena Zvezda
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
IMT Novi Belgrade0.68
Crvena Zvezda1.88
1X2
IMT Novi Belgrade
Draw
Crvena Zvezda
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 14%
Recent form · 10 last
IMT Novi Belgrade
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Crvena Zvezda
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IMT Novi Belgrade
0–6
Crvena Zvezda
(6 last)
- IMT Novi Belgrade1-2Crvena Zvezda
- Crvena Zvezda6-1IMT Novi Belgrade
- Crvena Zvezda4-0IMT Novi Belgrade
- IMT Novi Belgrade1-3Crvena Zvezda
- Crvena Zvezda2-0IMT Novi Belgrade
- IMT Novi Belgrade1-2Crvena Zvezda
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IMT Novi Belgrade 1513 · Crvena Zvezda 1595
| IMT Novi Belgrade | Draw | Crvena Zvezda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 23% | 65% |
| Market | 13% | 20% | 67% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crvena Zvezda (rating 1513 vs 1595).
- H2H favours Crvena Zvezda: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IMT Novi Belgrade | Crvena Zvezda | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 2.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5 | 2.6 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IMT Novi Belgrade 0–0–6 Crvena Zvezda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Serbia Super Liga | IMT Novi Belgrade | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Crvena Zvezda |
| 19/10/25 Serbia Super Liga | Crvena Zvezda | 6-1 HT 3-0 | IMT Novi Belgrade |
| 02/03/25 Serbia Super Liga | Crvena Zvezda | 4-0 HT 1-0 | IMT Novi Belgrade |
| 06/10/24 Serbia Super Liga | IMT Novi Belgrade | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Crvena Zvezda |
| 03/04/24 Serbia Super Liga | Crvena Zvezda | 2-0 HT 1-0 | IMT Novi Belgrade |
| 28/10/23 Serbia Super Liga | IMT Novi Belgrade | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Crvena Zvezda |
Standings · Serbia Super Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crvena Zvezda | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | IMT Novi Belgrade | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Mladost Lucani | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | FK Novi Pazar | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | FK Cukaricki | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 11 |
| 8 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | FK Radnicki 1923 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 10 | OFK Beograd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| 11 | FK Macva Sabac | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 8 |
| 12 | Partizan Belgrade | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 7 |
| 13 | Radnicki Nis | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | FK Zemun | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IMT Novi Belgrade | Crvena Zvezda |
|---|---|---|
| FK Macva Sabac | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| Partizan Belgrade | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| FK Zemun | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| FK Cukaricki | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Crvena Zvezda (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IMT Novi Belgrade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 16/08 | Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 09/08 | FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | FK Backa Topola Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Spartak Subotica Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
Crvena Zvezda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 30/08 | FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/07 | FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga |
3-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 04/05 | FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IMT Novi Belgrade vs Crvena Zvezda?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Crvena Zvezda win (66%). Probabilities: IMT Novi Belgrade 13%, draw 21%, Crvena Zvezda 66%.
How many goals are expected in IMT Novi Belgrade vs Crvena Zvezda?
The model expects 2.56 goals (IMT Novi Belgrade 0.68 · Crvena Zvezda 1.88), with a 59% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in IMT Novi Belgrade vs Crvena Zvezda?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.