Football · Serbia Super Liga · 23/10, 18:00

Prediction: FK Zemun vs FK Macva Sabac

Team pages: FK Zemun · FK Macva Sabac

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.14Total

FK Zemun1.07

FK Macva Sabac1.07

1X2

35% 30% 35%

FK Zemun Draw FK Macva Sabac

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Zemun 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDDLL

FK Macva Sabac 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWDDLLDD

Head-to-head

FK Zemun 2–3–1 FK Macva Sabac (6 last)

FK Zemun2-0FK Macva Sabac
FK Macva Sabac1-1FK Zemun
FK Zemun1-0FK Macva Sabac
FK Macva Sabac1-1FK Zemun
FK Macva Sabac0-0FK Zemun
FK Zemun0-2FK Macva Sabac

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Zemun 1411 · FK Macva Sabac 1450

	FK Zemun	Draw	FK Macva Sabac
Our model	34%	32%	34%
Market	36%	29%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Zemun: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Zemun	FK Macva Sabac
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 1.9	0.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.4	1.3 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.2	5.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.25

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:08 +3’	2.60	3.25	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zemun 2–3–1 FK Macva Sabac

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Zemun	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Macva Sabac
14/12/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Macva Sabac	1-1 HT 1-1	FK Zemun
06/09/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Zemun	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Macva Sabac
05/07/25 Europe Friendlies	FK Macva Sabac	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Zemun
03/03/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Macva Sabac	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Zemun
29/09/24 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Zemun	0-2 HT 0-1	FK Macva Sabac

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Crvena Zvezda	12	11	1	0	32	4	34
2	Vojvodina	12	9	1	2	27	11	28
3	IMT Novi Belgrade	12	6	3	3	15	8	21
4	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	11	6	2	3	18	10	20
5	FK Radnicki 1923	11	5	2	4	17	14	17
6	FK Radnik Surdulica	12	4	5	3	17	16	17
7	Mladost Lucani	12	4	5	3	11	17	17
8	FK Cukaricki	12	4	3	5	17	20	15
9	FK Novi Pazar	12	3	4	5	11	14	13
10	Partizan Belgrade	11	3	2	6	18	20	11
11	OFK Beograd	12	2	5	5	14	22	11
12	FK Macva Sabac	12	2	4	6	9	20	10
13	Radnicki Nis	11	2	2	7	7	18	8
14	FK Zemun	12	0	3	9	6	25	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Zemun	FK Macva Sabac
FK Cukaricki	0-3 L	2-2 D
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	0-3 L	0-2 L
FK Novi Pazar	2-2 D	1-1 D
FK Radnik Surdulica	1-1 D	1-2 L
Vojvodina	1-2 L	0-2 L
OFK Beograd	0-1 L	1-1 D
Mladost Lucani	0-1 L	1-2 L
FK Radnicki 1923	0-3 L	0-0 D
Radnicki Nis	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 7 L	1 W 4 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Macva Sabac (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Zemun

LLLLLLDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	0-2	0-3	2	6	L
11/10	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
19/09	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	0-1	2-2	4	6	D
14/09	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
06/09	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
30/08	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
22/08	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
16/08	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
08/08	FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga	0-2	0-3	5	8	L
02/08	Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-1	1	7	L

FK Macva Sabac

LWLWDDLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	1-1	1-1	7	5	D
10/10	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	1-2	2-2	2	8	D
20/09	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-2	6	6	L
11/09	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-2	0	5	L
05/09	FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
29/08	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
22/08	Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga	0-0	1-0	5	9	W
15/08	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-2	0	2	L
09/08	IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
03/08	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-2	4	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Zemun vs FK Macva Sabac?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Zemun win (35%). Probabilities: FK Zemun 35%, draw 30%, FK Macva Sabac 35%.

How many goals are expected in FK Zemun vs FK Macva Sabac?

The model expects 2.14 goals (FK Zemun 1.07 · FK Macva Sabac 1.07), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Zemun vs FK Macva Sabac?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.