Football · Serbia Super Liga · 01/11, 17:00

Prediction: Partizan Belgrade vs FK Zemun

Team pages: Partizan Belgrade · FK Zemun

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Partizan Belgrade2.56

FK Zemun0.62

1X2

79% 14% 7%

Partizan Belgrade Draw FK Zemun

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Partizan Belgrade 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDWLLW

FK Zemun 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDDLLW

Head-to-head

Partizan Belgrade 4–2–0 FK Zemun (6 last)

FK Zemun2-2Partizan Belgrade
Partizan Belgrade2-1FK Zemun
Partizan Belgrade1-0FK Zemun
FK Zemun0-2Partizan Belgrade
FK Zemun0-1Partizan Belgrade
Partizan Belgrade1-1FK Zemun

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Partizan Belgrade 1476 · FK Zemun 1424

	Partizan Belgrade	Draw	FK Zemun
Our model	79%	15%	6%
Market	80%	13%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Partizan Belgrade (rating 1476 vs 1424).
H2H favours Partizan Belgrade: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Partizan Belgrade	FK Zemun
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.9	0.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.3	0.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.7	1.3 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.3	5.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.17

X7.00

213.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.80

2 (+2)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:26 +2’	1.17	7.00	13.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Partizan Belgrade 4–2–0 FK Zemun

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Serbia Super Liga	FK Zemun	2-2 HT 0-1	Partizan Belgrade
22/05/20 Europe Friendlies	Partizan Belgrade	2-1 HT 2-0	FK Zemun
05/12/18 Serbia Super Liga	Partizan Belgrade	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Zemun
24/10/18 Serbia Cup	FK Zemun	0-2 HT 0-0	Partizan Belgrade
12/08/18 Serbia Super Liga	FK Zemun	0-1 HT 0-1	Partizan Belgrade
25/02/18 Serbia Super Liga	Partizan Belgrade	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Zemun

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Crvena Zvezda	13	12	1	0	33	4	37
2	Vojvodina	13	9	2	2	28	12	29
3	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	13	8	2	3	21	11	26
4	IMT Novi Belgrade	13	6	3	4	15	9	21
5	FK Radnicki 1923	13	6	2	5	19	16	20
6	FK Cukaricki	13	5	3	5	19	20	18
7	Mladost Lucani	13	4	6	3	12	18	18
8	FK Radnik Surdulica	13	4	5	4	17	17	17
9	FK Novi Pazar	13	4	4	5	13	14	16
10	Partizan Belgrade	13	4	2	7	21	24	14
11	OFK Beograd	13	2	5	6	14	23	11
12	FK Macva Sabac	13	2	4	7	9	21	10
13	Radnicki Nis	13	2	2	9	9	23	8
14	FK Zemun	13	1	3	9	7	25	6

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Partizan Belgrade	FK Zemun
FK Cukaricki	0-2 L	0-3 L
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	0-1 L	0-3 L
FK Novi Pazar	1-0 W	2-2 D
FK Radnik Surdulica	4-4 D	1-1 D
Vojvodina	2-3 L	1-2 L
Crvena Zvezda	1-2 L	0-2 L
OFK Beograd	3-1 W	0-1 L
Mladost Lucani	1-3 L	0-1 L
FK Radnicki 1923	0-1 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 6 L	0 W 2 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Partizan Belgrade (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Partizan Belgrade

LLWLLDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga	2-0	3-2	6	4	W
24/10	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	0-2	0-2	12	5	L
18/10	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	8	10	L
11/10	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
19/09	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	1-3	4-4	5	8	D
13/09	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-2	2-3	8	12	L
06/09	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	1-2	1-2	5	9	L
31/08	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	1-0	3-1	6	4	W
23/08	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	0-2	1-3	2	3	L
16/08	FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	11	5	L

FK Zemun

LLLLLDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	0-0	1-0	1	8	W
17/10	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	0-2	0-3	2	6	L
11/10	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
19/09	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	0-1	2-2	4	6	D
14/09	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
06/09	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
30/08	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
22/08	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
16/08	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
08/08	FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga	0-2	0-3	5	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Partizan Belgrade vs FK Zemun?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Partizan Belgrade win (79%). Probabilities: Partizan Belgrade 79%, draw 14%, FK Zemun 7%.

How many goals are expected in Partizan Belgrade vs FK Zemun?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Partizan Belgrade 2.56 · FK Zemun 0.62), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Partizan Belgrade vs FK Zemun?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.