Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 21/08, 20:00
Prediction: Maastricht vs FC Volendam
Team pages: Maastricht · FC Volendam
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Maastricht1.16
FC Volendam1.61
1X2
Maastricht
Draw
FC Volendam
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Maastricht
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
FC Volendam
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maastricht
1–2–3
FC Volendam
(6 last)
- FC Volendam3-1Maastricht
- Maastricht2-2FC Volendam
- Maastricht0-1FC Volendam
- FC Volendam5-0Maastricht
- Maastricht2-2FC Volendam
- FC Volendam0-1Maastricht
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maastricht 1490 · FC Volendam 1501
| Maastricht | Draw | FC Volendam | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 27% | 47% |
| Market | 27% | 26% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Volendam: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maastricht | FC Volendam | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 1.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maastricht 1–2–3 FC Volendam
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Volendam | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Maastricht |
| 13/09/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Maastricht | 2-2 HT 1-1 | FC Volendam |
| 21/01/22 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Maastricht | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Volendam |
| 27/08/21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Volendam | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Maastricht |
| 30/04/21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Maastricht | 2-2 HT 0-2 | FC Volendam |
| 03/01/21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Volendam | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Maastricht |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Maastricht | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Almere City FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | FC Dordrecht | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Volendam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | VVV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Eindhoven | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Roda JC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | PSV Reserves | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | NAC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | RKC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 13 | De Graafschap | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | FC Den Bosch | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Ajax Reserves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | AZ Reserves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Top Oss | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maastricht
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/07 | Gent II Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 21/07 | EVV Echt Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 14/07 | Seraing United Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 07/07 | Meerssen Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 17/04 | Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 10/04 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
FC Volendam
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 10/08 | PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | Ajax Elite Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 24/07 | FC Groningen Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | RKC Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 05/07 | RKAV Volendam Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Willem II Netherlands Eredivisie Play-Offs |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Willem II Netherlands Eredivisie Play-Offs |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Telstar Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Excelsior Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maastricht vs FC Volendam?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Volendam win (47%). Probabilities: Maastricht 27%, draw 26%, FC Volendam 47%.
How many goals are expected in Maastricht vs FC Volendam?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Maastricht 1.16 · FC Volendam 1.61), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Maastricht vs FC Volendam?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.