Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 24/08, 20:00
Prediction: PSV Reserves vs Top Oss
Team pages: PSV Reserves · Top Oss
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
PSV Reserves1.98
Top Oss1.09
1X2
PSV Reserves
Draw
Top Oss
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
PSV Reserves
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Top Oss
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PSV Reserves
3–2–1
Top Oss
(6 last)
- PSV Reserves2-0Top Oss
- Top Oss1-1PSV Reserves
- PSV Reserves2-2Top Oss
- Top Oss0-3PSV Reserves
- PSV Reserves4-1Top Oss
- Top Oss4-1PSV Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PSV Reserves 1467 · Top Oss 1475
| PSV Reserves | Draw | Top Oss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | 57% | 23% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours PSV Reserves: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PSV Reserves | Top Oss | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 1.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.9 | 2.6 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PSV Reserves 3–2–1 Top Oss
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | PSV Reserves | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Top Oss |
| 03/10/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Top Oss | 1-1 HT 1-0 | PSV Reserves |
| 10/03/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | PSV Reserves | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Top Oss |
| 13/09/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Top Oss | 0-3 HT 0-2 | PSV Reserves |
| 03/05/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | PSV Reserves | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Top Oss |
| 18/08/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Top Oss | 4-1 HT 3-0 | PSV Reserves |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Emmen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Maastricht | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Almere City FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Heracles | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Roda JC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | NAC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | FC Dordrecht | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | VVV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | PSV Reserves | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | AZ Reserves | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | RKC | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 18 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 | Top Oss | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | Ajax Reserves | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PSV Reserves | Top Oss |
|---|---|---|
| Almere City FC | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| FC Volendam | 3-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Ajax Reserves | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Willem II | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Den Bosch | 0-1 L | 4-2 W |
| FC Eindhoven | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Top Oss (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PSV Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/08 | FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 13/04 | AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 20/03 | Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/03 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/03 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Top Oss
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/04 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/04 | Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/03 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 17/03 | FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 13/03 | Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PSV Reserves vs Top Oss?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PSV Reserves win (57%). Probabilities: PSV Reserves 57%, draw 23%, Top Oss 20%.
How many goals are expected in PSV Reserves vs Top Oss?
The model expects 3.07 goals (PSV Reserves 1.98 · Top Oss 1.09), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in PSV Reserves vs Top Oss?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.