Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 27/09, 14:30

Prediction: De Graafschap vs FC Den Bosch

Team pages: De Graafschap · FC Den Bosch

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

De Graafschap1.97

FC Den Bosch1.75

1X2

43% 23% 34%

De Graafschap Draw FC Den Bosch

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

De Graafschap 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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FC Den Bosch 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

De Graafschap 4–2–0 FC Den Bosch (6 last)

De Graafschap1-1FC Den Bosch
FC Den Bosch1-2De Graafschap
De Graafschap1-0FC Den Bosch
FC Den Bosch2-2De Graafschap
De Graafschap2-0FC Den Bosch
FC Den Bosch0-4De Graafschap

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours De Graafschap: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	De Graafschap	FC Den Bosch
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.6	1.4 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.2	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.5	2.8 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.83

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:14

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.88 → 1.88	Pinn 1.88
X	4.09 → 4.09	Pinn 4.09
2	3.43 → 3.43	Pinn 3.43

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:14 +361’	1.88	4.09	3.43

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · De Graafschap 4–2–0 FC Den Bosch

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/01/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	De Graafschap	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Den Bosch
31/10/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Den Bosch	1-2 HT 1-1	De Graafschap
07/02/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	De Graafschap	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Den Bosch
04/10/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Den Bosch	2-2 HT 0-1	De Graafschap
23/02/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	De Graafschap	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Den Bosch
15/12/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Den Bosch	0-4 HT 0-2	De Graafschap

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	7	6	0	1	24	10	18
2	Almere City FC	7	5	1	1	16	4	16
3	VVV	7	5	0	2	19	11	15
4	RKC	7	3	4	0	18	9	13
5	Vitesse	7	4	1	2	13	9	13
6	Maastricht	7	4	1	2	10	15	13
7	AZ Reserves	9	4	1	4	22	17	13
8	Roda JC	7	3	3	1	7	5	12
9	FC Emmen	7	4	0	3	17	17	12
10	PSV Reserves	9	3	3	3	14	16	12
11	FC Eindhoven	7	3	1	3	11	13	10
12	FC Volendam	7	3	0	4	17	14	9
13	Helmond Sport	7	2	2	3	13	12	8
14	Ajax Reserves	9	2	2	5	13	22	8
15	NAC	6	2	1	3	11	14	7
16	FC Den Bosch	7	2	1	4	12	16	7
17	FC Utrecht Reserves	9	2	1	6	15	21	7
18	Top Oss	7	2	0	5	8	12	6
19	De Graafschap	6	1	1	4	7	18	4
20	FC Dordrecht	7	1	1	5	9	21	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	De Graafschap	FC Den Bosch
Heracles	0-5 L	2-3 L
Almere City FC	1-4 L	1-1 D
Helmond Sport	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Den Bosch (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

De Graafschap

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	1-2	2	4	L
11/09	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
04/09	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-5	1	4	L
29/08	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-4	9	2	L
23/08	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	1-2	5	3	L
17/08	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	2-5	5	7	L
09/08	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
09/05	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	2-2	7	5	D
06/05	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-3	3	0	L
24/04	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-1	6	3	L

FC Den Bosch

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	2-1	5	4	W
13/09	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-2	8	5	L
07/09	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-3	10	2	L
28/08	Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-3	1-4	16	3	L
21/08	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-1	5-2	6	1	W
14/08	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	2-3	6	1	L
08/08	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-1	7	1	D
02/05	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-3	7	1	L
24/04	ADO Den Haag Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-3	3	0	L
20/04	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-1	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in De Graafschap vs FC Den Bosch?

According to our model, the most likely result is a De Graafschap win (43%). Probabilities: De Graafschap 43%, draw 23%, FC Den Bosch 34%.

How many goals are expected in De Graafschap vs FC Den Bosch?

The model expects 3.72 goals (De Graafschap 1.97 · FC Den Bosch 1.75), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in De Graafschap vs FC Den Bosch?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.