Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 25/09, 21:00

Prediction: FC Dordrecht vs Almere City FC

Team pages: FC Dordrecht · Almere City FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

FC Dordrecht1.47

Almere City FC1.91

1X2

29% 24% 47%

FC Dordrecht Draw Almere City FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Dordrecht 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWDLLLLL

Almere City FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLLDWWWLWW

Head-to-head

FC Dordrecht 0–1–5 Almere City FC (6 last)

Almere City FC4-1FC Dordrecht
FC Dordrecht0-1Almere City FC
FC Dordrecht0-1Almere City FC
Almere City FC2-1FC Dordrecht
Almere City FC1-0FC Dordrecht
FC Dordrecht2-2Almere City FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Almere City FC (rating 1423 vs 1544).
H2H favours Almere City FC: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Dordrecht	Almere City FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.7	1.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.4	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.1	3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	2.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.81

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.06 → 3.03▼	Pinn 3.03
X	3.85 → 3.82▼	Pinn 3.82
2	2.08 → 2.10▲	Pinn 2.10

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
22:46 +180’	3.06	3.85	2.08
15:17 +149’	3.03▼	3.82▼	2.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Dordrecht 0–1–5 Almere City FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC	4-1 HT 2-1	FC Dordrecht
03/11/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Dordrecht	0-1 HT 0-0	Almere City FC
03/03/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Dordrecht	0-1 HT 0-1	Almere City FC
13/11/22 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Dordrecht
22/07/22 Europe Friendlies	Almere City FC	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Dordrecht
04/02/22 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Dordrecht	2-2 HT 0-2	Almere City FC

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	7	6	0	1	24	10	18
2	Almere City FC	7	5	1	1	16	4	16
3	VVV	7	5	0	2	19	11	15
4	RKC	7	3	4	0	18	9	13
5	Vitesse	7	4	1	2	13	9	13
6	Maastricht	7	4	1	2	10	15	13
7	AZ Reserves	9	4	1	4	22	17	13
8	Roda JC	7	3	3	1	7	5	12
9	FC Emmen	7	4	0	3	17	17	12
10	PSV Reserves	9	3	3	3	14	16	12
11	FC Eindhoven	7	3	1	3	11	13	10
12	FC Volendam	7	3	0	4	17	14	9
13	Helmond Sport	7	2	2	3	13	12	8
14	Ajax Reserves	9	2	2	5	13	22	8
15	NAC	6	2	1	3	11	14	7
16	FC Den Bosch	7	2	1	4	12	16	7
17	FC Utrecht Reserves	9	2	1	6	15	21	7
18	Top Oss	7	2	0	5	8	12	6
19	De Graafschap	6	1	1	4	7	18	4
20	FC Dordrecht	7	1	1	5	9	21	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Dordrecht	Almere City FC
Ajax Reserves	2-1 W	0-1 L
Willem II	1-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Dordrecht (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Dordrecht

WLLWDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-3	6	6	L
11/09	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
05/09	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-3	3-6	2	5	L
28/08	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-3	1-6	3	4	L
21/08	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
14/08	RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
07/08	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	2-1	8	7	W
24/04	Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
17/04	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	1-4	3	2	L
12/04	ADO Den Haag Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-0	8	4	W

Almere City FC

DLLDWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
11/09	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	4-0	4	2	W
04/09	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-1	10	5	L
29/08	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	4-1	5	2	W
21/08	Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	3-0	3	4	W
14/08	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	3-1	3	2	W
08/08	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
16/05	Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
13/05	Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	7	1	L
09/05	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-2	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Dordrecht vs Almere City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Almere City FC win (47%). Probabilities: FC Dordrecht 29%, draw 24%, Almere City FC 47%.

How many goals are expected in FC Dordrecht vs Almere City FC?

The model expects 3.38 goals (FC Dordrecht 1.47 · Almere City FC 1.91), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Dordrecht vs Almere City FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.