Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 18/09, 20:00

Prediction: FC Utrecht Reserves vs VVV

Team pages: FC Utrecht Reserves · VVV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

FC Utrecht Reserves1.61

VVV1.78

1X2

34% 25% 41%

FC Utrecht Reserves Draw VVV

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Utrecht Reserves 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDWLLLLLDW

VVV 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWLWWWLW

Head-to-head

FC Utrecht Reserves 1–3–2 VVV (6 last)

FC Utrecht Reserves2-2VVV
VVV0-1FC Utrecht Reserves
FC Utrecht Reserves0-0VVV
VVV3-2FC Utrecht Reserves
FC Utrecht Reserves0-0VVV
VVV4-1FC Utrecht Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Utrecht Reserves 1457 · VVV 1504

	FC Utrecht Reserves	Draw	VVV
Our model	34%	25%	41%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VVV (rating 1457 vs 1504).
H2H favours VVV: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Utrecht Reserves	VVV
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.8	2.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.2	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.6	2.7 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.60

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.02

Under 3.251.77

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +6’	2.70	3.60	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Utrecht Reserves 1–3–2 VVV

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/02/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Utrecht Reserves	2-2 HT 0-1	VVV
21/10/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	VVV	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Utrecht Reserves
01/04/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Utrecht Reserves	0-0 HT 0-0	VVV
13/09/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	VVV	3-2 HT 1-1	FC Utrecht Reserves
15/01/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Utrecht Reserves	0-0 HT 0-0	VVV
25/08/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	VVV	4-1 HT 2-1	FC Utrecht Reserves

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	6	6	0	0	24	9	18
2	Almere City FC	6	4	1	1	15	4	13
3	Maastricht	6	4	1	1	9	9	13
4	VVV	6	4	0	2	16	10	12
5	FC Emmen	6	4	0	2	16	14	12
6	Roda JC	6	3	2	1	7	5	11
7	PSV Reserves	7	3	2	2	12	12	11
8	RKC	6	2	4	0	12	8	10
9	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
10	FC Volendam	6	3	0	3	16	10	9
11	AZ Reserves	7	3	0	4	17	15	9
12	Helmond Sport	6	2	2	2	12	10	8
13	NAC	6	2	1	3	11	14	7
14	FC Eindhoven	6	2	1	3	8	12	7
15	Ajax Reserves	7	2	1	4	12	16	7
16	FC Den Bosch	6	1	1	4	10	15	4
17	FC Dordrecht	6	1	1	4	9	18	4
18	De Graafschap	6	1	1	4	7	18	4
19	FC Utrecht Reserves	7	1	1	5	8	17	4
20	Top Oss	6	1	0	5	5	12	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Utrecht Reserves	VVV
NAC	3-2 W	2-0 W
Top Oss	1-2 L	3-1 W
Heracles	1-6 L	3-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: VVV (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Utrecht Reserves

WDWLLLLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	3-2	1	5	W
07/09	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
31/08	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
28/08	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
24/08	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-5	1-6	2	1	L
17/08	Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-3	3	3	L
09/08	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
24/04	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
20/04	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
17/04	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	3-0	3	5	W

VVV

LDLWLWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	3-1	7	3	W
04/09	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	2-4	8	5	L
30/08	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	4-0	3	6	W
23/08	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	2-1	4	3	W
14/08	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-0	1	7	W
07/08	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	3-4	5	4	L
24/04	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-0	3-1	2	1	W
17/04	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-2	0	3	L
11/04	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	3-3	9	1	D
06/04	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-1	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Utrecht Reserves vs VVV?

According to our model, the most likely result is an VVV win (41%). Probabilities: FC Utrecht Reserves 34%, draw 25%, VVV 41%.

How many goals are expected in FC Utrecht Reserves vs VVV?

The model expects 3.39 goals (FC Utrecht Reserves 1.61 · VVV 1.78), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Utrecht Reserves vs VVV?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.