Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 23/08, 23:00

Prediction: Inter San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa

Team pages: Inter San Carlos · Deportivo Saprissa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Inter San Carlos0.96
Deportivo Saprissa1.7
1X2
20% 26% 54%
Inter San Carlos Draw Deportivo Saprissa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Inter San Carlos 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WWDDWDLDWW
Deportivo Saprissa 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WLLWWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter San Carlos 1547 · Deportivo Saprissa 1612
Inter San CarlosDrawDeportivo Saprissa
Our model20%26%54%
Market21%25%54%
Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Saprissa (rating 1547 vs 1612).
  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Inter San CarlosDeportivo Saprissa
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.52.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.21 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 43.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.1 / 0.53.9 / 0.3

Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Deportivo Saprissa 4400 12412
2 Alajuelense 4310 8310
3 Inter San Carlos 4211 547
4 Cartagines 4202 766
5 Sporting San Jose 4121 545
6 Escorpiones de Belen FC 4112 444
7 Herediano 4112 454
8 Puntarenas 5113 384
9 Municipal Perez Zeledon 5113 274
10 AD San Carlos 4103 273

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentInter San CarlosDeportivo Saprissa
Municipal Perez Zeledon 1-0 W 5-1 W
AD San Carlos 2-0 W 2-1 W
Herediano 1-1 D 0-1 L
Cartagines 1-3 L 3-2 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter San Carlos

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/08 Municipal Perez Zeledon
Costa Rica Primera Division
1-0 1-0 66 W
09/08 AD San Carlos
Costa Rica Primera Division
1-0 2-0 06 W
03/08 Herediano
Costa Rica Primera Division
1-1 1-1 55 D
26/07 Cartagines
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-1 1-3 43 L
24/05 ADR Jicaral
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 0-0 312 D
18/05 ADR Jicaral
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 1-0 65 W
12/05 Escorpiones de Belen FC
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 0-0 111 D
05/05 Escorpiones de Belen FC
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 0-0 35 D
28/04 Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 2-0 77 W
21/04 Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 2-1 56 W

Deportivo Saprissa

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Cartagines
Costa Rica Primera Division
2-1 3-2 47 W
12/08 Deportivo Mixco
CONCACAF Central American Cup
3-0 3-0 71 W
09/08 Puntarenas
Costa Rica Primera Division
1-0 2-0 45 W
06/08 Alianza FC Panama
CONCACAF Central American Cup
1-0 2-1 94 W
03/08 AD San Carlos
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 2-1 113 W
30/07 UMECIT
CONCACAF Central American Cup
1-0 2-1 65 W
25/07 Municipal Perez Zeledon
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 5-1 72 W
18/07 Herediano
Costa Rica Super Cup
0-1 0-1 36 L
17/05 Herediano
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 0-2 36 L
14/05 Herediano
Costa Rica Primera Division
2-1 2-1 23 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Saprissa win (54%). Probabilities: Inter San Carlos 20%, draw 26%, Deportivo Saprissa 54%.

How many goals are expected in Inter San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Inter San Carlos 0.96 · Deportivo Saprissa 1.7), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.