Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 20/09, 04:00
Prediction: Deportivo Saprissa vs Herediano
Team pages: Deportivo Saprissa · Herediano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Deportivo Saprissa1.73
Herediano0.81
1X2
Deportivo Saprissa
Draw
Herediano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Saprissa
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Herediano
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Saprissa
2–1–3
Herediano
(6 last)
- Deportivo Saprissa0-1Herediano
- Herediano2-0Deportivo Saprissa
- Deportivo Saprissa2-1Herediano
- Deportivo Saprissa2-1Herediano
- Herediano2-0Deportivo Saprissa
- Deportivo Saprissa1-1Herediano
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Saprissa (rating 1573 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Herediano: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Saprissa | Herediano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.2 / 6.3 | 2.1 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Saprissa 2–1–3 Herediano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 Costa Rica Super Cup | Deportivo Saprissa | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Herediano |
| 17/05/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Herediano | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Saprissa |
| 14/05/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Herediano |
| 09/03/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Herediano |
| 18/01/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Herediano | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Saprissa |
| 23/11/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Deportivo Saprissa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Herediano |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Cartagines | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Inter San Carlos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | AD San Carlos | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 12 |
| 5 | Sporting San Jose | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Alajuelense | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | Puntarenas | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 8 |
| 8 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 8 |
| 9 | Herediano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 10 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Saprissa | Herediano |
|---|---|---|
| Alajuelense | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Escorpiones de Belen FC | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Inter San Carlos | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Cartagines | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| AD San Carlos | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Municipal Perez Zeledon | 5-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Saprissa (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Saprissa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 16/08 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/08 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 14/05 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11/05 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 8 | W |
Herediano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 30/08 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/08 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 14/05 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Saprissa vs Herediano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Saprissa win (58%). Probabilities: Deportivo Saprissa 58%, draw 26%, Herediano 16%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Saprissa vs Herediano?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Deportivo Saprissa 1.73 · Herediano 0.81), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Saprissa vs Herediano?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.