Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 11/10, 01:00
Prediction: Puntarenas vs Alajuelense
Team pages: Puntarenas · Alajuelense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Puntarenas1.47
Alajuelense1.44
1X2
Puntarenas
Draw
Alajuelense
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Puntarenas
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Alajuelense
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puntarenas
1–3–2
Alajuelense
(6 last)
- Alajuelense2-1Puntarenas
- Alajuelense5-2Puntarenas
- Puntarenas2-0Alajuelense
- Alajuelense2-2Puntarenas
- Puntarenas0-0Alajuelense
- Alajuelense0-0Puntarenas
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alajuelense (rating 1472 vs 1522).
- H2H favours Alajuelense: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Puntarenas | Alajuelense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.7 | 3.3 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.4 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puntarenas 1–3–2 Alajuelense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Alajuelense | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Puntarenas |
| 24/04/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Alajuelense | 5-2 HT 3-1 | Puntarenas |
| 01/03/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Alajuelense |
| 27/09/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Alajuelense | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Puntarenas |
| 17/08/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Alajuelense |
| 15/05/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Alajuelense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Puntarenas |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Cartagines | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Sporting San Jose | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | AD San Carlos | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 15 |
| 5 | Alajuelense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 14 |
| 6 | Inter San Carlos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 14 |
| 7 | Puntarenas | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 11 |
| 8 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 8 |
| 9 | Herediano | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 7 |
| 10 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puntarenas | Alajuelense |
|---|---|---|
| Escorpiones de Belen FC | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Inter San Carlos | 1-1 D | 5-0 W |
| Cartagines | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| AD San Carlos | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Municipal Perez Zeledon | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Sporting San Jose | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Herediano | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puntarenas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 07/09 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 31/08 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 12 | W |
| 16/08 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/08 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 24/07 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
Alajuelense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 24/08 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 10/08 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27/04 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puntarenas vs Alajuelense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Puntarenas win (37%). Probabilities: Puntarenas 37%, draw 27%, Alajuelense 36%.
How many goals are expected in Puntarenas vs Alajuelense?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Puntarenas 1.47 · Alajuelense 1.44), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Puntarenas vs Alajuelense?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.