Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 20/10, 02:00
Prediction: Sporting San Jose vs AD San Carlos
Team pages: Sporting San Jose · AD San Carlos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Sporting San Jose1.63
AD San Carlos0.82
1X2
Sporting San Jose
Draw
AD San Carlos
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Sporting San Jose
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
AD San Carlos
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sporting San Jose
3–1–2
AD San Carlos
(6 last)
- AD San Carlos1-0Sporting San Jose
- Sporting San Jose1-0AD San Carlos
- AD San Carlos3-0Sporting San Jose
- AD San Carlos0-3Sporting San Jose
- Sporting San Jose1-1AD San Carlos
- Sporting San Jose1-0AD San Carlos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sporting San Jose 1543 · AD San Carlos 1532
| Sporting San Jose | Draw | AD San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 27% | 18% |
| Market | 56% | 26% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sporting San Jose: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sporting San Jose | AD San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.4 | 2.2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 5.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting San Jose 3–1–2 AD San Carlos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | AD San Carlos | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sporting San Jose |
| 15/03/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Sporting San Jose | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AD San Carlos |
| 19/01/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | AD San Carlos | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Sporting San Jose |
| 29/09/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | AD San Carlos | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Sporting San Jose |
| 16/08/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Sporting San Jose | 1-1 HT 1-0 | AD San Carlos |
| 03/05/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Sporting San Jose | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AD San Carlos |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Cartagines | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Sporting San Jose | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 20 |
| 4 | Alajuelense | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | AD San Carlos | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 18 |
| 6 | Inter San Carlos | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 18 |
| 7 | Puntarenas | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 12 |
| 8 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
| 9 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 9 |
| 10 | Herediano | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sporting San Jose | AD San Carlos |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Saprissa | 0-6 L | 1-2 L |
| Cartagines | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Municipal Perez Zeledon | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Inter San Carlos | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Herediano | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Puntarenas | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sporting San Jose (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sporting San Jose
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-3 | 0-6 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 14/09 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
3-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 07/09 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 23/08 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 18/08 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 02/08 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
AD San Carlos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 11 | L |
| 11/10 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/09 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 07/09 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sporting San Jose vs AD San Carlos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting San Jose win (55%). Probabilities: Sporting San Jose 55%, draw 27%, AD San Carlos 18%.
How many goals are expected in Sporting San Jose vs AD San Carlos?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Sporting San Jose 1.63 · AD San Carlos 0.82), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sporting San Jose vs AD San Carlos?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.