Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 20/10, 04:00
Prediction: Escorpiones de Belen FC vs Puntarenas
Team pages: Escorpiones de Belen FC · Puntarenas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Escorpiones de Belen FC1.18
Puntarenas1.25
1X2
Escorpiones de Belen FC
Draw
Puntarenas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Escorpiones de Belen FC
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Puntarenas
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Escorpiones de Belen FC
0–1–5
Puntarenas
(6 last)
- Puntarenas1-0Escorpiones de Belen FC
- Puntarenas1-1Escorpiones de Belen FC
- Escorpiones de Belen FC2-3Puntarenas
- Escorpiones de Belen FC1-2Puntarenas
- Puntarenas4-0Escorpiones de Belen FC
- Puntarenas3-0Escorpiones de Belen FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Escorpiones de Belen FC 1446 · Puntarenas 1482
| Escorpiones de Belen FC | Draw | Puntarenas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Puntarenas: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Escorpiones de Belen FC | Puntarenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.3 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.4 | 5.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Escorpiones de Belen FC 0–1–5 Puntarenas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Escorpiones de Belen FC |
| 20/08/25 Costa Rica Cup | Puntarenas | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Escorpiones de Belen FC |
| 07/08/25 Costa Rica Cup | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Puntarenas |
| 13/03/22 Costa Rica Segunda | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 1-2 | Puntarenas |
| 29/01/22 Costa Rica Segunda | Puntarenas | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Escorpiones de Belen FC |
| 09/10/21 Costa Rica Segunda | Puntarenas | 3-0 | Escorpiones de Belen FC |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Cartagines | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Sporting San Jose | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 20 |
| 4 | Alajuelense | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | AD San Carlos | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 18 |
| 6 | Inter San Carlos | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 18 |
| 7 | Puntarenas | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 12 |
| 8 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
| 9 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 9 |
| 10 | Herediano | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Escorpiones de Belen FC | Puntarenas |
|---|---|---|
| Municipal Perez Zeledon | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Inter San Carlos | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Cartagines | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Sporting San Jose | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Alajuelense | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Puntarenas (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Escorpiones de Belen FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
3-1 | 4-1 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 12/10 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 31/08 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 18/08 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
Puntarenas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 07/09 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 31/08 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 12 | W |
| 16/08 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/08 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Escorpiones de Belen FC vs Puntarenas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Puntarenas win (38%). Probabilities: Escorpiones de Belen FC 34%, draw 29%, Puntarenas 38%.
How many goals are expected in Escorpiones de Belen FC vs Puntarenas?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Escorpiones de Belen FC 1.18 · Puntarenas 1.25), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Escorpiones de Belen FC vs Puntarenas?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.