Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 19/10, 00:00
Prediction: Municipal Perez Zeledon vs Herediano
Team pages: Municipal Perez Zeledon · Herediano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Municipal Perez Zeledon0.95
Herediano1.46
1X2
Municipal Perez Zeledon
Draw
Herediano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Municipal Perez Zeledon
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Herediano
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Municipal Perez Zeledon
1–5
Herediano
(6 last)
- Herediano2-3Municipal Perez Zeledon
- Municipal Perez Zeledon0-1Herediano
- Herediano3-0Municipal Perez Zeledon
- Municipal Perez Zeledon1-3Herediano
- Herediano2-1Municipal Perez Zeledon
- Herediano3-0Municipal Perez Zeledon
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Municipal Perez Zeledon 1422 · Herediano 1481
| Municipal Perez Zeledon | Draw | Herediano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 29% | 48% |
| Market | 24% | 27% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Herediano (rating 1422 vs 1481).
- H2H favours Herediano: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Municipal Perez Zeledon | Herediano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.8 | 2.8 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.4 | 5.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Municipal Perez Zeledon 1–0–5 Herediano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Herediano | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Municipal Perez Zeledon |
| 23/04/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Herediano |
| 01/03/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Herediano | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Municipal Perez Zeledon |
| 07/12/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Herediano |
| 17/08/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Herediano | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Municipal Perez Zeledon |
| 27/03/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Herediano | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Municipal Perez Zeledon |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Cartagines | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Sporting San Jose | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 20 |
| 4 | Alajuelense | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | AD San Carlos | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 18 |
| 6 | Inter San Carlos | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 18 |
| 7 | Puntarenas | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 12 |
| 8 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
| 9 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 9 |
| 10 | Herediano | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Municipal Perez Zeledon | Herediano |
|---|---|---|
| Escorpiones de Belen FC | 1-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Inter San Carlos | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Sporting San Jose | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| AD San Carlos | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Alajuelense | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Cartagines | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Municipal Perez Zeledon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 10/10 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 12/09 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 30/08 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 12 | L |
| 17/08 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 04/08 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Herediano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 11/10 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 13/09 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 30/08 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/08 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/08 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Municipal Perez Zeledon vs Herediano?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Herediano win (48%). Probabilities: Municipal Perez Zeledon 24%, draw 28%, Herediano 48%.
How many goals are expected in Municipal Perez Zeledon vs Herediano?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Municipal Perez Zeledon 0.95 · Herediano 1.46), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Municipal Perez Zeledon vs Herediano?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.