Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 18/10, 19:00
Prediction: Cartagines vs Deportivo Saprissa
Team pages: Cartagines · Deportivo Saprissa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Cartagines1.42
Deportivo Saprissa1.37
1X2
Cartagines
Draw
Deportivo Saprissa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Cartagines
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Saprissa
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cartagines
2–2–2
Deportivo Saprissa
(6 last)
- Cartagines3-2Deportivo Saprissa
- Deportivo Saprissa2-2Cartagines
- Deportivo Saprissa3-2Cartagines
- Cartagines2-1Deportivo Saprissa
- Deportivo Saprissa0-0Cartagines
- Deportivo Saprissa2-1Cartagines
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cartagines 1550 · Deportivo Saprissa 1538
| Cartagines | Draw | Deportivo Saprissa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 28% | 35% |
| Market | 35% | 32% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cartagines | Deportivo Saprissa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 2.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.1 | 3.6 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.5 | 5.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cartagines 2–2–2 Deportivo Saprissa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/26 CONCACAF Central American Cup | Cartagines | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Saprissa |
| 10/09/26 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Cartagines |
| 16/08/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Deportivo Saprissa | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Cartagines |
| 15/03/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Cartagines | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Saprissa |
| 26/01/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Deportivo Saprissa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cartagines |
| 14/12/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Cartagines |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Cartagines | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Sporting San Jose | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 20 |
| 4 | Alajuelense | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | AD San Carlos | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 18 |
| 6 | Inter San Carlos | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 18 |
| 7 | Puntarenas | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 12 |
| 8 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
| 9 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 9 |
| 10 | Herediano | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cartagines | Deportivo Saprissa |
|---|---|---|
| Puntarenas | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Sporting San Jose | 1-3 L | 6-0 W |
| AD San Carlos | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Alajuelense | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Herediano | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Escorpiones de Belen FC | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Saprissa (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cartagines
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 14/09 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/09 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 30/08 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 16/08 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 04/08 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
Deportivo Saprissa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
3-0 | 6-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 12/10 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 14/09 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 16/08 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/08 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cartagines vs Deportivo Saprissa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cartagines win (36%). Probabilities: Cartagines 36%, draw 30%, Deportivo Saprissa 34%.
How many goals are expected in Cartagines vs Deportivo Saprissa?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Cartagines 1.42 · Deportivo Saprissa 1.37), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cartagines vs Deportivo Saprissa?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.