Football · Mexico Liga MX · 12/09, 03:00
Prediction: Necaxa vs Puebla
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Necaxa1.69
Puebla1.15
1X2
Necaxa
Draw
Puebla
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Necaxa
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Puebla
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Necaxa
4–1–1
Puebla
(6 last)
- Puebla0-0Necaxa
- Necaxa1-0Puebla
- Puebla0-1Necaxa
- Necaxa4-1Puebla
- Puebla1-2Necaxa
- Necaxa1-2Puebla
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Necaxa: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Necaxa | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 1.5 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.6 | 1.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Necaxa 4–1–1 Puebla
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Mexico Liga MX | Puebla | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Necaxa |
| 20/09/25 Mexico Liga MX | Necaxa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Puebla |
| 19/04/25 Mexico Liga MX | Puebla | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Necaxa |
| 14/07/24 Mexico Liga MX | Necaxa | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Puebla |
| 20/01/24 Mexico Liga MX | Puebla | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Necaxa |
| 09/10/23 Mexico Liga MX | Necaxa | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Puebla |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Toluca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Tijuana | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Atlas | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Queretaro | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Leon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Puebla | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 9 |
| 10 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 11 | Pachuca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 12 | Unam Pumas | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Necaxa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | Atlante | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Necaxa | Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Leon | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Monterrey | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Chivas Guadalajara | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Necaxa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 24/08 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/08 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 27/07 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | Atlante Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/04 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
Puebla
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/08 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 22/07 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Queretaro Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/04 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Necaxa vs Puebla?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Necaxa win (49%). Probabilities: Necaxa 49%, draw 26%, Puebla 25%.
How many goals are expected in Necaxa vs Puebla?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Necaxa 1.69 · Puebla 1.15), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Necaxa vs Puebla?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.