Football · Mexico Liga MX · 14/09, 03:00

Prediction: Santos Laguna vs Juarez FC

Team pages: Santos Laguna · Juarez FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Santos Laguna1.71
Juarez FC1.23
1X2
47% 26% 26%
Santos Laguna Draw Juarez FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Santos Laguna 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLWLLLLLDL
Juarez FC 1-0-9 (W-D-L)
LLWLLLLLLL
Head-to-head
Santos Laguna 1–1–4 Juarez FC (6 last)
  • Santos Laguna2-2Juarez FC
  • Juarez FC2-1Santos Laguna
  • Juarez FC1-0Santos Laguna
  • Santos Laguna0-2Juarez FC
  • Juarez FC2-1Santos Laguna
  • Santos Laguna5-1Juarez FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santos Laguna 1423 · Juarez FC 1416
Santos LagunaDrawJuarez FC
Our model48%26%26%
Market47%26%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Juarez FC: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Santos LagunaJuarez FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.50.8 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.7 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 6.21.7 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.13.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Santos Laguna 114 Juarez FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/01/26
Mexico Liga MX
Santos Laguna2-2
HT 1-0
Juarez FC
23/08/25
Mexico Liga MX
Juarez FC2-1
HT 0-1
Santos Laguna
30/01/25
Mexico Liga MX
Juarez FC1-0
HT 0-0
Santos Laguna
07/10/24
Mexico Liga MX
Santos Laguna0-2
HT 0-0
Juarez FC
01/04/24
Mexico Liga MX
Juarez FC2-1
HT 0-0
Santos Laguna
30/10/23
Mexico Liga MX
Santos Laguna5-1
HT 2-1
Juarez FC

Standings · Mexico Liga MX

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Toluca 7511 17616
2 Club America 7511 15616
3 Cruz Azul 8503 161415
4 Chivas Guadalajara 7421 12614
5 Queretaro 7412 10713
6 Tijuana 7412 10813
7 Puebla 7412 10913
8 Atlas 8413 121413
9 Pachuca 8323 13811
10 Unam Pumas 7322 11911
11 Monterrey 7313 131010
12 Leon 7313 9910
13 Necaxa 8224 9138
14 Tigres UANL 8143 9117
15 Atlante 8143 7127
16 Atletico San Luis 7133 8136
17 Santos Laguna 7016 4121
18 Juarez FC 7007 3210

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSantos LagunaJuarez FC
Puebla 2-3 L 0-1 L
Chivas Guadalajara 0-1 L 0-1 L
Club America 0-3 L 1-2 L
Monterrey 2-3 L 1-6 L
Atletico San Luis 0-2 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 5 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Juarez FC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santos Laguna

LLWLLLLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/09 Cruz Azul
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-1 51 L
30/08 Tigres UANL
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-0 126 D
23/08 Puebla
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 2-3 61 L
17/08 Chivas Guadalajara
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-1 51 L
03/08 Club America
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 0-3 111 L
26/07 Atlas
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-1 42 L
19/07 Monterrey
Mexico Liga MX
1-3 2-3 50 L
27/04 Monterrey
Mexico Liga MX
2-0 3-0 37 W
23/04 Atletico San Luis
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-2 65 L
20/04 Atlas
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 0-1 58 L

Juarez FC

LLWLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Pachuca
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-2 110 L
31/08 Toluca
Mexico Liga MX
0-2 0-4 32 L
22/08 Club America
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 1-2 55 L
16/08 Monterrey
Mexico Liga MX
1-4 1-6 00 L
01/08 Unam Pumas
Mexico Liga MX
1-3 1-5 23 L
26/07 Chivas Guadalajara
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-1 23 L
18/07 Puebla
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 0-1 53 L
26/04 Atletico San Luis
Mexico Liga MX
2-1 2-1 41 W
22/04 Unam Pumas
Mexico Liga MX
2-0 2-4 17 L
19/04 Leon
Mexico Liga MX
0-2 1-3 81 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santos Laguna vs Juarez FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santos Laguna win (47%). Probabilities: Santos Laguna 47%, draw 26%, Juarez FC 26%.

How many goals are expected in Santos Laguna vs Juarez FC?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Santos Laguna 1.71 · Juarez FC 1.23), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Santos Laguna vs Juarez FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.