Football · Mexico Liga MX · 19/09, 05:00
Prediction: Juarez FC vs Tigres UANL
Team pages: Juarez FC · Tigres UANL
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Juarez FC1.44
Tigres UANL1.38
1X2
Juarez FC
Draw
Tigres UANL
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Juarez FC
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Tigres UANL
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Juarez FC
2–1–3
Tigres UANL
(6 last)
- Juarez FC2-1Tigres UANL
- Tigres UANL1-0Juarez FC
- Tigres UANL0-1Juarez FC
- Juarez FC0-1Tigres UANL
- Tigres UANL1-0Juarez FC
- Juarez FC1-1Tigres UANL
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigres UANL (rating 1425 vs 1472).
- H2H favours Tigres UANL: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Juarez FC | Tigres UANL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.9 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.1 | 3.5 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juarez FC 2–1–3 Tigres UANL
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 Mexico Liga MX | Juarez FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Tigres UANL |
| 20/07/25 Mexico Liga MX | Tigres UANL | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Juarez FC |
| 26/02/25 Mexico Liga MX | Tigres UANL | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Juarez FC |
| 23/09/24 Mexico Liga MX | Juarez FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tigres UANL |
| 29/02/24 Mexico Liga MX | Tigres UANL | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Juarez FC |
| 09/07/23 Mexico Liga MX | Juarez FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Tigres UANL |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Club America | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 15 |
| 4 | Chivas Guadalajara | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | Queretaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Puebla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | Atlas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 13 |
| 9 | Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Unam Pumas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 11 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
| 12 | Leon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | Necaxa | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 15 | Atlante | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Juarez FC | Tigres UANL |
|---|---|---|
| Monterrey | 1-6 L | 0-0 D |
| Chivas Guadalajara | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Atletico San Luis | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Juarez FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juarez FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 31/08 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
1-4 | 1-6 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
1-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 22/04 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
Tigres UANL
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Necaxa Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Atlante Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-2 | 16 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Queretaro Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 9 | L |
| 26/07 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 17/07 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juarez FC vs Tigres UANL?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Juarez FC win (37%). Probabilities: Juarez FC 37%, draw 28%, Tigres UANL 35%.
How many goals are expected in Juarez FC vs Tigres UANL?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Juarez FC 1.44 · Tigres UANL 1.38), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Juarez FC vs Tigres UANL?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.