Football · Mexico Liga MX · 27/09, 03:00
Prediction: Santos Laguna vs Pachuca
Team pages: Santos Laguna · Pachuca
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Santos Laguna1.19
Pachuca1.39
1X2
Santos Laguna
Draw
Pachuca
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Santos Laguna
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Pachuca
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santos Laguna
1–1–4
Pachuca
(6 last)
- Pachuca4-2Santos Laguna
- Santos Laguna1-0Pachuca
- Pachuca2-1Santos Laguna
- Santos Laguna1-1Pachuca
- Santos Laguna0-2Pachuca
- Pachuca3-2Santos Laguna
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pachuca (rating 1441 vs 1526).
- H2H favours Pachuca: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santos Laguna | Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6.9 | 2.5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santos Laguna 1–1–4 Pachuca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Mexico Liga MX | Pachuca | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Santos Laguna |
| 10/11/25 Mexico Liga MX | Santos Laguna | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Pachuca |
| 21/01/25 Mexico Liga MX | Pachuca | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Santos Laguna |
| 23/10/24 Mexico Liga MX | Santos Laguna | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Pachuca |
| 21/04/24 Mexico Liga MX | Santos Laguna | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Pachuca |
| 19/09/23 Mexico Liga MX | Pachuca | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Santos Laguna |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Club America | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
| 5 | Puebla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | Atlas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 13 |
| 8 | Queretaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Leon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 10 | Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
| 11 | Unam Pumas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 14 | Atlante | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 8 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 8 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 7 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santos Laguna | Pachuca |
|---|---|---|
| Juarez FC | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Puebla | 2-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Chivas Guadalajara | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Atletico San Luis | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Pachuca (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santos Laguna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 8 | W |
| 07/09 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/08 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 03/08 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-3 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 26/07 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 27/04 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 23/04 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Pachuca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Atlante Mexico Liga MX |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 30/08 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 24/08 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/08 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 02/08 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 12 | L |
| 27/07 | Queretaro Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 19/07 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/05 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santos Laguna vs Pachuca?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Pachuca win (40%). Probabilities: Santos Laguna 31%, draw 29%, Pachuca 40%.
How many goals are expected in Santos Laguna vs Pachuca?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Santos Laguna 1.19 · Pachuca 1.39), with a 59% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Santos Laguna vs Pachuca?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.