Football · Mexico Liga MX · 27/09, 01:07
Prediction: Chivas Guadalajara vs Queretaro
Team pages: Chivas Guadalajara · Queretaro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Chivas Guadalajara1.56
Queretaro0.97
1X2
Chivas Guadalajara
Draw
Queretaro
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Chivas Guadalajara
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Queretaro
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chivas Guadalajara
4–1–1
Queretaro
(6 last)
- Chivas Guadalajara2-1Queretaro
- Queretaro1-0Chivas Guadalajara
- Chivas Guadalajara1-1Queretaro
- Queretaro0-2Chivas Guadalajara
- Chivas Guadalajara2-0Queretaro
- Queretaro1-2Chivas Guadalajara
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Chivas Guadalajara: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chivas Guadalajara | Queretaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 7.5 | 2.8 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chivas Guadalajara 4–1–1 Queretaro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 Mexico Liga MX | Chivas Guadalajara | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Queretaro |
| 23/10/25 Mexico Liga MX | Queretaro | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Chivas Guadalajara |
| 02/02/25 Mexico Liga MX | Chivas Guadalajara | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Queretaro |
| 17/07/24 Mexico Liga MX | Queretaro | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Chivas Guadalajara |
| 21/04/24 Mexico Liga MX | Chivas Guadalajara | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Queretaro |
| 01/11/23 Mexico Liga MX | Queretaro | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Chivas Guadalajara |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Club America | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
| 5 | Puebla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | Atlas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 13 |
| 8 | Queretaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Leon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 10 | Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
| 11 | Unam Pumas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 14 | Atlante | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 8 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 8 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 7 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chivas Guadalajara | Queretaro |
|---|---|---|
| Club America | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Unam Pumas | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Pachuca | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Tijuana | 5-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Puebla | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Toluca | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Cruz Azul | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Queretaro (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chivas Guadalajara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 14/09 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
3-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/08 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 26/07 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 19 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
Queretaro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 16/08 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 27/07 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 25/04 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 22/04 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Mazatlan FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chivas Guadalajara vs Queretaro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chivas Guadalajara win (50%). Probabilities: Chivas Guadalajara 50%, draw 28%, Queretaro 22%.
How many goals are expected in Chivas Guadalajara vs Queretaro?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Chivas Guadalajara 1.56 · Queretaro 0.97), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Chivas Guadalajara vs Queretaro?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.