Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 27/07, 19:00

Prediction: Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.32Total

Zaglebie Lubin1.36

Piast Gliwice0.97

1X2

45% 30% 25%

Zaglebie Lubin Draw Piast Gliwice

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Zaglebie Lubin 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Piast Gliwice 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWDDLLLWWD

Head-to-head

Zaglebie Lubin 1–2–3 Piast Gliwice (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Piast Gliwice: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zaglebie Lubin	Piast Gliwice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.4	2.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.4	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.96

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.3

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:17

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.91 → 2.89▼	Pinn 2.89
X	3.21 → 3.22▲	Pinn 3.22
2	2.51 → 2.51	Pinn 2.51

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:15	2.91	3.21	2.51
04:16	2.89▼	3.22▲	2.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zaglebie Lubin 1–2–3 Piast Gliwice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Poland Ekstraklasa	Piast Gliwice	1-3 HT 1-1	Zaglebie Lubin
30/08/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Zaglebie Lubin	2-2 HT 1-1	Piast Gliwice
01/03/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Zaglebie Lubin	0-1 HT 0-1	Piast Gliwice
24/08/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	Piast Gliwice	1-0 HT 1-0	Zaglebie Lubin
15/04/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	Piast Gliwice	2-0 HT 2-0	Zaglebie Lubin
07/10/23 Poland Ekstraklasa	Zaglebie Lubin	1-1 HT 1-0	Piast Gliwice

Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GKS Katowice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Piast Gliwice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gornik Zabrze	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jagiellonia Bialystok	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lech Poznan	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Korona Kielce	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cracovia Krakow	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Legia Warsaw	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Motor Lublin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pogon Szczecin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Radomiak Radom	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rakow Czestochowa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Widzew Lodz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wieczysta Krakow	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wisla Krakow	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wisla Plock	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slask Wroclaw	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Zaglebie Lubin	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zaglebie Lubin	Piast Gliwice
Banik Ostrava	0-2 L	1-0 W
Miedz Legnica	3-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Zaglebie Lubin

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Chrobry Glogow Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-0	8	2	W
17/07	Bohemians 1905 Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-2	6	1	L
08/07	Banik Ostrava Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
01/07	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-2	2	4	W
26/06	Miedz Legnica Europe Friendlies	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
23/05	Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
15/05	Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
09/05	Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	2-0	4	1	W
03/05	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
24/04	Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	1-2	6	8	L

Piast Gliwice

DWDDLLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/07	Miedz Legnica Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-2	5	0	D
04/07	Banik Ostrava Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
01/07	GKS Katowice Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-0	9	0	W
27/06	Rakow Czestochowa Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
23/05	Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
17/05	Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa	0-3	1-3	9	7	L
10/05	GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
01/05	Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-1	6	2	D
27/04	Arka Gdynia Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	4-1	6	3	W
20/04	Lechia Gdansk Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-1	0	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zaglebie Lubin win (45%). Probabilities: Zaglebie Lubin 45%, draw 30%, Piast Gliwice 25%.

How many goals are expected in Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Zaglebie Lubin 1.36 · Piast Gliwice 0.97), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.