Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 29/08, 20:15
Prediction: Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin
Team pages: Zaglebie Lubin · Pogon Szczecin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Zaglebie Lubin1.25
Pogon Szczecin1.25
1X2
Zaglebie Lubin
Draw
Pogon Szczecin
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Zaglebie Lubin
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Pogon Szczecin
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zaglebie Lubin
1–1–4
Pogon Szczecin
(6 last)
- Zaglebie Lubin0-1Pogon Szczecin
- Pogon Szczecin5-1Zaglebie Lubin
- Pogon Szczecin1-0Zaglebie Lubin
- Pogon Szczecin4-3Zaglebie Lubin
- Zaglebie Lubin2-2Pogon Szczecin
- Pogon Szczecin0-2Zaglebie Lubin
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pogon Szczecin (rating 1487 vs 1542).
- H2H favours Pogon Szczecin: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zaglebie Lubin | Pogon Szczecin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4 | 1.7 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zaglebie Lubin 1–1–4 Pogon Szczecin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Zaglebie Lubin | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Pogon Szczecin |
| 24/11/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Pogon Szczecin | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 01/02/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Pogon Szczecin | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 04/12/24 Poland Cup | Pogon Szczecin | 4-3 HT 2-1 | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 28/07/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Zaglebie Lubin | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Pogon Szczecin |
| 10/03/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Pogon Szczecin | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Zaglebie Lubin |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warsaw | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Cracovia Krakow | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Widzew Lodz | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Wisla Krakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Slask Wroclaw | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Wieczysta Krakow | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 3 |
| 17 | Radomiak Radom | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zaglebie Lubin | Pogon Szczecin |
|---|---|---|
| Legia Warsaw | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Piast Gliwice | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Cracovia Krakow | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Pogon Szczecin (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zaglebie Lubin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 27/07 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/04 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 17/04 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Pogon Szczecin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/08 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/07 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 13/04 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zaglebie Lubin win (35%). Probabilities: Zaglebie Lubin 35%, draw 30%, Pogon Szczecin 35%.
How many goals are expected in Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Zaglebie Lubin 1.25 · Pogon Szczecin 1.25), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.