Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 30/08, 20:15
Prediction: Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan
Team pages: Widzew Lodz · Lech Poznan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Widzew Lodz1.38
Lech Poznan1.47
1X2
Widzew Lodz
Draw
Lech Poznan
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Widzew Lodz
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Lech Poznan
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Widzew Lodz
3–1–2
Lech Poznan
(6 last)
- Widzew Lodz2-1Lech Poznan
- Lech Poznan2-1Widzew Lodz
- Lech Poznan4-1Widzew Lodz
- Widzew Lodz2-1Lech Poznan
- Widzew Lodz1-1Lech Poznan
- Lech Poznan1-3Widzew Lodz
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lech Poznan (rating 1556 vs 1624).
- H2H favours Widzew Lodz: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Widzew Lodz | Lech Poznan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 2.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 4 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Widzew Lodz 3–1–2 Lech Poznan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Widzew Lodz | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Lech Poznan |
| 31/08/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Lech Poznan | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Widzew Lodz |
| 31/01/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Lech Poznan | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Widzew Lodz |
| 27/07/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Widzew Lodz | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Lech Poznan |
| 19/05/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Widzew Lodz | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Lech Poznan |
| 26/11/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Lech Poznan | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Widzew Lodz |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warsaw | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Cracovia Krakow | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Wisla Krakow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Widzew Lodz | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
| 15 | Wisla Plock | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 3 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Widzew Lodz | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Wisla Plock | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Motor Lublin | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Piast Gliwice | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Legia Warsaw | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Lech Poznan (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Widzew Lodz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 15/08 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-2 | 1-2 | 15 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 31/07 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Lechia Gdansk Poland Ekstraklasa |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Lech Poznan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Arka Gdynia Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
4-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lech Poznan win (38%). Probabilities: Widzew Lodz 34%, draw 27%, Lech Poznan 38%.
How many goals are expected in Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Widzew Lodz 1.38 · Lech Poznan 1.47), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.