Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 30/08, 14:45
Prediction: Rakow Czestochowa vs Jagiellonia Bialystok
Team pages: Rakow Czestochowa · Jagiellonia Bialystok
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Rakow Czestochowa1.32
Jagiellonia Bialystok1.34
1X2
Rakow Czestochowa
Draw
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Rakow Czestochowa
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Jagiellonia Bialystok
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rakow Czestochowa
2–1–3
Jagiellonia Bialystok
(6 last)
- Rakow Czestochowa0-2Jagiellonia Bialystok
- Jagiellonia Bialystok1-2Rakow Czestochowa
- Rakow Czestochowa1-2Jagiellonia Bialystok
- Jagiellonia Bialystok2-2Rakow Czestochowa
- Jagiellonia Bialystok4-2Rakow Czestochowa
- Rakow Czestochowa3-0Jagiellonia Bialystok
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jagiellonia Bialystok (rating 1547 vs 1605).
- H2H favours Jagiellonia Bialystok: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rakow Czestochowa | Jagiellonia Bialystok | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.7 | 2.3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rakow Czestochowa 2–1–3 Jagiellonia Bialystok
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Rakow Czestochowa | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 02/11/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Rakow Czestochowa |
| 10/05/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Rakow Czestochowa | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 10/11/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Rakow Czestochowa |
| 10/12/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Rakow Czestochowa |
| 22/07/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Rakow Czestochowa | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warsaw | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Cracovia Krakow | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Wisla Krakow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Widzew Lodz | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
| 15 | Wisla Plock | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 3 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rakow Czestochowa | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
|---|---|---|
| Arka Gdynia | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Korona Kielce | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Motor Lublin | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rakow Czestochowa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Arka Gdynia Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
3-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 13/05 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Lechia Gdansk Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Jagiellonia Bialystok
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 31/07 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Arka Gdynia Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/04 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rakow Czestochowa vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Jagiellonia Bialystok win (36%). Probabilities: Rakow Czestochowa 35%, draw 28%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 36%.
How many goals are expected in Rakow Czestochowa vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Rakow Czestochowa 1.32 · Jagiellonia Bialystok 1.34), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rakow Czestochowa vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.